沙田 · 2023-02-12 · 15:03
第 5場
2023-02-12沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K Teetan策騎、P F Yiu訓練的ADEFILL勝出，贏出6-1/4。HAPPY TANGO獲得亞軍；CALIFORNIA CONCORD獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門STAND UP跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | ADEFILL CP 1.08.90 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 10 | 4.2 | 6-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | HAPPY TANGO B M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 29.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 10.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | NOBLE ONE H/TT H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 8 | 12.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | M M NEBULA B2/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 3 | 10.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | CHARMING STEED TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 11 | 20.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | BRILLIANT PIONEER H R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 6 | 83.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | STAND UP Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 2.9 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | SUMMIT CHEERS TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 9 | 20.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | COMMANDING MISSILE B-/H/PC1/TT C L Chau · J Richards | C L Chau | J Richards | 7 | 36.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | HOODABUTTA L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 12 | 143.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | COLOURFUL PRINCE SR/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 1 | 5.4 | 15-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | STAND UP | 31.4% | 3.19 | 8 |
| 2 | 10 | COLOURFUL PRINCE | 20.4% | 4.91 | 12 |
| 3 | 6 | ADEFILL | 12.3% | 8.12 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | NOBLE ONE | 9.5% | 10.48 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 5.6% | 17.96 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | CHARMING STEED | 5.5% | 18.25 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 4.6% | 21.82 | 10 |
| 8 | 11 | M M NEBULA | 3.7% | 27.13 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 2.9% | 34.64 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | HAPPY TANGO | 1.9% | 52.24 | 2 |
| 11 | 7 | BRILLIANT PIONEER | 1.4% | 70.52 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | HOODABUTTA | 0.8% | 119.58 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 42.5
PLACE
1 33.5
6 16
12 60.5
QUINELLA
6,12 560
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 76.5
1,12 337.5
6,12 153.5
FORECAST
6,12 1,261
TIERCE
6,12,1 7,772
TRIO
1,6,12 1,535
FIRST 4
1,4,6,12 4,181
QUARTET
6,12,1,4 69,887
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 24.5
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
4/6 146.5
4/12 171.5