沙田 · 2023-03-05 · 17:48
第 10場
2023-03-05沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、C W Chang訓練的CHING勝出，贏出1-1/4。HAVA NAGEELA獲得亞軍；THE BEST PEACH獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | CHING 後段發力 1.34.82 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 6 | 2.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | HAVA NAGEELA 後段發力 B S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 3 | 8.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | THE BEST PEACH 後段發力 CP-/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 9 | 60.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 13 | HAPPY DAY 後段發力 M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 7 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | ALACRITY 後段發力 CP-/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 13 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | POWERFUL WINGS 後段發力 B H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 14 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | BEAUTY INSPIRE H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 4 | 5.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | MASSIVE ACTION SR/V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 9.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE 後段發力 TT V Borges · C Fownes | V Borges | C Fownes | 2 | 62.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 14 | BULLETPROOF V R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 8 | 68.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | TOTAL POWER 早段領放 B K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 10 | 101.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 8 | PRINCE ALEX CP/SR C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 11 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | KING'S CAPITAL B M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 14 | 10 | PACKING HURRICANE TT M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 12 | 53.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SEAWEED FORTUNE H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HAVA NAGEELA | 23.9% | 4.19 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | MASSIVE ACTION | 10.2% | 9.85 | 8 |
| 3 | 12 | CHING | 9.9% | 10.05 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | PRINCE ALEX | 8.4% | 11.87 | 12 |
| 5 | 11 | KING'S CAPITAL | 7.4% | 13.59 | 13 |
| 6 | 13 | HAPPY DAY | 7.3% | 13.73 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | ALACRITY | 7.1% | 14.06 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | BEAUTY INSPIRE | 6.1% | 16.40 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | PACKING HURRICANE | 4.8% | 20.88 | 14 |
| 10 | 6 | POWERFUL WINGS | 4.6% | 21.54 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | TOTAL POWER | 3.5% | 28.32 | 11 |
| 12 | 14 | BULLETPROOF | 3.2% | 31.16 | 10 |
| 13 | 7 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 2.4% | 41.04 | 9 |
| 14 | 3 | THE BEST PEACH | 1.1% | 89.02 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 26
PLACE
3 148.5
5 24
12 13
QUINELLA
5,12 105
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 662.5
3,12 289.5
5,12 43.5
FORECAST
12,5 183
TIERCE
12,5,3 6,205
TRIO
3,5,12 1,622
FIRST 4
3,5,12,13 4,082
QUARTET
12,5,3,13 48,572
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 18
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,11/3,5,12 112,188
9TH DOUBLE
11/5 22
11/12 46
SIX UP
1,9/5,6/1,8,10/1,10/2,11/5,12 2,272
9/5/8/10/11/12 119,824
2 [P F Yiu] —
4 [S De Sousa] —
TREBLE
10/11/5 178
10/11/12 180