沙田 · 2023-03-05 · 15:04
第 5場
2023-03-05沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由L Hewitson策騎、D A Hayes訓練的THE MULTIPLIER勝出，贏出3/4。CALIFORNIA CONCORD獲得亞軍；SHINING FORTUNE獲得季軍。頭馬以3.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | THE MULTIPLIER B/TT 1.08.70 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 3 | 3.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 1 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | SHINING FORTUNE PC/XB K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 8 | 3.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | YELLOWFIN TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 4.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | LUCKY RUBY B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 4 | 5.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | VALHALLA B/XB/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 6 | 27.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | SURE JOYFUL V K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 20.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | GLUCK RACER V H Bentley · L Ho | H Bentley | L Ho | 7 | 38.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | DRAGON STAR XB/B1 A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 10 | 102.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 10 | GREAT FOR YOU CP1 C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 9 | 22.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | MILLENNIUM FALCON H C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 12 | 114.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | GEM OF SOUTH CHINA B1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 11 | 31.0 | 66-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | YELLOWFIN | 26.5% | 3.77 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | SURE JOYFUL | 19.0% | 5.27 | 7 |
| 3 | 9 | THE MULTIPLIER | 13.4% | 7.44 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | SHINING FORTUNE | 9.9% | 10.13 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 8.9% | 11.27 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | LUCKY RUBY | 5.2% | 19.07 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | GLUCK RACER | 4.7% | 21.13 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 4.5% | 22.43 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | VALHALLA | 4.0% | 24.76 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | GEM OF SOUTH CHINA | 1.8% | 56.84 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | DRAGON STAR | 1.1% | 93.77 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | GREAT FOR YOU | 1.0% | 100.52 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 36
PLACE
1 33.5
4 15.5
9 15
QUINELLA
1,9 244.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 97
1,9 86
4,9 31
FORECAST
9,1 366
TIERCE
9,1,4 1,742
TRIO
1,4,9 303
FIRST 4
1,4,5,9 171
QUARTET
9,1,4,5 4,349
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 20
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
11/1 344
11/9 628