沙田 · 2023-03-05 · 15:36
第 6場
2023-03-05沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、P F Yiu訓練的DARCI JOY勝出，贏出2-1/2。TURQUOISE ALPHA獲得亞軍；PERFECT TO GREAT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。1.6倍大熱門PERFETTO跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | DARCI JOY 後段發力 B/TT 1.34.73 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 1 | 5.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | TURQUOISE ALPHA 後段發力 CP/XB M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 2 | 25.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | PERFECT TO GREAT 後段發力 SR/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | DRAGON DELIGHT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 7 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | PERFETTO 後段發力 H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 8 | 1.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | BULB PRINCE H/TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 5 | 20.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | CLASSIC ARCHI 後段發力 SR/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 10 | 172.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | SPARKY STAR 後段發力 B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 38.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 13 | STAR OF GLORY 早段領放 B C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 11 | 72.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | SO YOU TRUST TT H Bentley · J Size | H Bentley | J Size | 3 | 142.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | OSCAR GLORY B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 12 | 87.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | GENERAL WINNER L Currie · W Y So | L Currie | W Y So | 9 | 53.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | INDIGENOUS REALM TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 13 | 11.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | EZRA B L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 14 | 23.0 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PERFETTO | 30.0% | 3.33 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | DARCI JOY | 15.2% | 6.60 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 8.9% | 11.22 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | INDIGENOUS REALM | 8.8% | 11.31 | 13 |
| 5 | 4 | SPARKY STAR | 5.6% | 17.81 | 8 |
| 6 | 1 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 5.6% | 17.83 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | BULB PRINCE | 4.8% | 21.02 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | EZRA | 4.5% | 22.42 | 14 |
| 9 | 3 | OSCAR GLORY | 4.1% | 24.32 | 11 |
| 10 | 13 | STAR OF GLORY | 3.8% | 26.42 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 3.2% | 31.32 | 2 |
| 12 | 11 | GENERAL WINNER | 2.8% | 36.22 | 12 |
| 13 | 14 | SO YOU TRUST | 1.8% | 57.12 | 10 |
| 14 | 10 | CLASSIC ARCHI | 1.0% | 97.93 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 54.5
PLACE
5 17.5
6 44
8 41
QUINELLA
5,6 561.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 123.5
5,8 121
6,8 377
FORECAST
5,6 1,118
TIERCE
5,6,8 10,467
TRIO
5,6,8 2,673
FIRST 4
1,5,6,8 8,131
QUARTET
5,6,8,1 151,220
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 12.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,9/5,6,8 137,241
5TH DOUBLE
9/5 234
9/6 252
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,10,11/1,4,9/Any Combination 4,235