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Sha Tin · 2023-03-05 · 15:36

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1600m Course B+2 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.73
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 DARCI JOY Closed strongly B/TT 1.34.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P F Yiu 1 5.4 2-1/2
2 0 TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP/XB M Chadwick · P C Ng 2 25.0 2-1/2
3 0 PERFECT TO GREAT Closed strongly SR/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 6 17.0 2-3/4
4 0 DRAGON DELIGHT L Hewitson · D A Hayes 7 17.0 3
5 0 PERFETTO Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Hall 8 1.6 3-1/4
6 0 BULB PRINCE H/TT V Borges · C H Yip 5 20.0 3-1/4
7 0 CLASSIC ARCHI Closed strongly SR/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte 10 172.0 4-3/4
8 0 SPARKY STAR Closed strongly B C L Chau · T P Yung 4 38.0 5
9 0 STAR OF GLORY Led early B C Wong · C W Chang 11 72.0 5-1/4
10 0 SO YOU TRUST TT H Bentley · J Size 3 142.0 5-1/4
11 0 OSCAR GLORY B M F Poon · F C Lor 12 87.0 6-3/4
12 0 GENERAL WINNER L Currie · W Y So 9 53.0 8-1/2
13 0 INDIGENOUS REALM TT S De Sousa · K L Man 13 11.0 10-3/4
14 0 EZRA B L Ferraris · A T Millard 14 23.0 12-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-05 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. DARCI JOY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P F Yiu, won by 2-1/2, with TURQUOISE ALPHA second and PERFECT TO GREAT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.6 favourite PERFETTO finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DARCI JOY—2. TURQUOISE ALPHA+2.5L3. PERFECT TO GREAT+2.75L4. DRAGON DELIGHT+3L5. PERFETTO+3.25L6. BULB PRINCE+3.25L7. CLASSIC ARCHI+4.75L8. SPARKY STAR+5L9. STAR OF GLORY+5.25L10. SO YOU TRUST+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick PERFETTO (30.0%) finished 5th — the winner DARCI JOY was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 PERFETTO 30.0% 3.33 5
2 0 DARCI JOY 15.2% 6.60 1
3 0 PERFECT TO GREAT 8.9% 11.22 3
4 0 INDIGENOUS REALM 8.8% 11.31 13
5 0 SPARKY STAR 5.6% 17.81 8
6 0 DRAGON DELIGHT 5.6% 17.83 4
7 0 BULB PRINCE 4.8% 21.02 6
8 0 EZRA 4.5% 22.42 14
9 0 OSCAR GLORY 4.1% 24.32 11
10 0 STAR OF GLORY 3.8% 26.42 9
11 0 TURQUOISE ALPHA 3.2% 31.32 2
12 0 GENERAL WINNER 2.8% 36.22 12
13 0 SO YOU TRUST 1.8% 57.12 10
14 0 CLASSIC ARCHI 1.0% 97.93 7
PERFETTODARCI JOY — wonPERFECT TO GREATINDIGENOUS REALMSPARKY STARDRAGON DELIGHTBULB PRINCEEZRAOSCAR GLORYSTAR OF GLORYTURQUOISE ALPHAGENERAL WINNERSO YOU TRUSTCLASSIC ARCHI

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 54.5

PLACE

5 17.5

6 44

8 41

QUINELLA

5,6 561.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,6 123.5

5,8 121

6,8 377

FORECAST

5,6 1,118

TIERCE

5,6,8 10,467

TRIO

5,6,8 2,673

FIRST 4

1,5,6,8 8,131

QUARTET

5,6,8,1 151,220

All pools (4 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 12.5

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,4,9/5,6,8 137,241

5TH DOUBLE

9/5 234

9/6 252

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,10,11/1,4,9/Any Combination 4,235