Sha Tin · 2023-03-05 · 17:48
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHING Closed strongly 1.34.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 6 | 2.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | HAVA NAGEELA Closed strongly B S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 3 | 8.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | THE BEST PEACH Closed strongly CP-/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 9 | 60.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | HAPPY DAY Closed strongly M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 7 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | ALACRITY Closed strongly CP-/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 13 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | POWERFUL WINGS Closed strongly B H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 14 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY INSPIRE H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 4 | 5.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | MASSIVE ACTION SR/V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 9.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly TT V Borges · C Fownes | V Borges | C Fownes | 2 | 62.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | BULLETPROOF V R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 8 | 68.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | TOTAL POWER Led early B K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 10 | 101.0 | 4 |
| 13 | 0 | KING'S CAPITAL B M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | PACKING HURRICANE TT M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 12 | 53.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SEAWEED FORTUNE H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | PRINCE ALEX CP/SR C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | — | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-05 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CHING, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by C W Chang, won by 1-1/4, with HAVA NAGEELA second and THE BEST PEACH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAVA NAGEELA | 23.9% | 4.19 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | MASSIVE ACTION | 10.2% | 9.85 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | CHING | 9.9% | 10.05 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | PRINCE ALEX | 8.4% | 11.87 | — |
| 5 | 0 | KING'S CAPITAL | 7.4% | 13.59 | 13 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY DAY | 7.3% | 13.73 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | ALACRITY | 7.1% | 14.06 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | BEAUTY INSPIRE | 6.1% | 16.40 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | PACKING HURRICANE | 4.8% | 20.88 | 14 |
| 10 | 0 | POWERFUL WINGS | 4.6% | 21.54 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | TOTAL POWER | 3.5% | 28.32 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | BULLETPROOF | 3.2% | 31.16 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 2.4% | 41.04 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | THE BEST PEACH | 1.1% | 89.02 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 26
PLACE
3 148.5
5 24
12 13
QUINELLA
5,12 105
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 662.5
3,12 289.5
5,12 43.5
FORECAST
12,5 183
TIERCE
12,5,3 6,205
TRIO
3,5,12 1,622
FIRST 4
3,5,12,13 4,082
QUARTET
12,5,3,13 48,572
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 18
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,11/3,5,12 112,188
9TH DOUBLE
11/5 22
11/12 46
SIX UP
1,9/5,6/1,8,10/1,10/2,11/5,12 2,272
9/5/8/10/11/12 119,824
2 [P F Yiu] —
4 [S De Sousa] —
TREBLE
10/11/5 178
10/11/12 180