Sha Tin · 2023-03-05 · 16:38
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHAMPION DRAGON Closed strongly H/TT 1.48.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 9 | 4.4 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | RUNNING GLORY Closed strongly H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 3 | 4.3 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD Closed strongly CP/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 4 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SAVVY NINE Led early B/XB R Maia · D J Whyte | R Maia | D J Whyte | 5 | 31.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SPIRITED EXPRESS Closed strongly B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 10 | 9.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | TURIN REDSUN SR-/B2/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 7.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | THE IRISHMAN H/XB/TT S De Sousa · K W Lui | S De Sousa | K W Lui | 8 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 7 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CELESTIAL POWER V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 11 | 37.0 | 5-3/4 |
| — | 0 | PERFECT TEAM TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | — | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| — | 0 | VIVA CHALEUR TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | — | 6.2 | 4-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-05 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. CHAMPION DRAGON, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1, with RUNNING GLORY second and BUTTERFIELD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite RUNNING GLORY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RUNNING GLORY | 20.0% | 5.00 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | THE IRISHMAN | 17.6% | 5.68 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 17.3% | 5.80 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | VIVA CHALEUR | 10.1% | 9.92 | — |
| 5 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD | 7.8% | 12.80 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT | 7.0% | 14.36 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | SPIRITED EXPRESS | 5.6% | 17.78 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | TURIN REDSUN | 4.5% | 22.32 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | SAVVY NINE | 4.1% | 24.52 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | PERFECT TEAM | 3.2% | 31.38 | — |
| 11 | 0 | CELESTIAL POWER | 2.9% | 34.15 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 44
PLACE
1 15.5
5 27.5
10 19
QUINELLA
1,10 103
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 67
1,10 42
5,10 79.5
FORECAST
10,1 226
TIERCE
10,1,5 849
TRIO
1,5,10 175
FIRST 4
1,2,5,10 1,420
QUARTET
10,1,5,2 19,055
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 22
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,8>1,10/1,5,10 13,862
7TH DOUBLE
8/1 299.5
8/10 1,049.5