Sha Tin · 2023-03-05 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHIRON Closed strongly B-/TT 1.39.28 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 1 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | EL VALIENTE Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 4 | 2.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | FORTUNE MARBO B/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 2 | 5.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | GOLD COMET Closed strongly B H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 11 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | SPEED FORCE Closed strongly B- M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 5 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE Closed strongly C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 14 | 36.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 10 | 7.8 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | LUCKY VICTOR B/TT K H Chan · K H Ting | K H Chan | K H Ting | 9 | 28.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | COLOURFUL BARON B/TT S De Sousa · R Gibson | S De Sousa | R Gibson | 8 | 8.1 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | REGENCY GEM Closed strongly V/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 13 | 19.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SPLENDID STAR M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 12 | 64.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER HORNET B/XB/TT V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 3 | 18.0 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | FLYING MIGHTY B/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 6 | 55.0 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | BRILLIANT EIGHT Led early B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 7 | 20.0 | 15-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-05 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. CHIRON, ridden by K C Leung and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-3/4, with EL VALIENTE second and FORTUNE MARBO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite EL VALIENTE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EL VALIENTE | 14.5% | 6.91 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD | 11.9% | 8.41 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | FORTUNE MARBO | 11.4% | 8.74 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | COLOURFUL BARON | 11.1% | 8.99 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | CHIRON | 9.1% | 11.02 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | REGENCY GEM | 8.4% | 11.95 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | FLYING MIGHTY | 7.9% | 12.69 | 13 |
| 8 | 0 | SPEED FORCE | 5.9% | 16.86 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 4.2% | 23.75 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | GOLD COMET | 4.1% | 24.13 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER HORNET | 3.9% | 25.39 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | LUCKY VICTOR | 3.2% | 31.14 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | SPLENDID STAR | 2.2% | 45.73 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | BRILLIANT EIGHT | 2.1% | 47.06 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 131.5
PLACE
6 35.5
7 13
13 22.5
QUINELLA
6,7 221.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 67.5
6,13 122.5
7,13 40.5
FORECAST
6,7 491
TIERCE
6,7,13 2,650
TRIO
6,7,13 343
FIRST 4
6,7,9,13 2,011
QUARTET
6,7,13,9 42,112
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 25.5
A1 —