Sha Tin · 2023-03-05 · 17:12
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-05 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. ADEFILL, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with ADIOS second and MAN STAR third. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | ADEFILL CP 1.07.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 9 | 1.8 | N |
| 2 | 2 | ADIOS CP-/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 6 | MAN STAR V S De Sousa · K H Ting | S De Sousa | K H Ting | 6 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | CAPTAIN WIN B/XB/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 7 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | LIGHTNING BOLT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 4 | 6.8 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | SUPER KING SR/XB/TT V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 1 | 62.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | ELON E/P A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 11 | 19.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | FLYING DRAGON B H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 5 | 15.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | FIERY DIAMOND C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 9.2 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | STREET SCREAM B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 8 | 15.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | LUCKY FUN M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 12 | 78.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 2 | 104.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | ADEFILL | 23.1% | 4.33 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | FIERY DIAMOND | 10.5% | 9.51 | 9 |
| 3 | 1 | STREET SCREAM | 10.5% | 9.53 | 10 |
| 4 | 5 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 9.4% | 10.63 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | MAN STAR | 9.3% | 10.81 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | CAPTAIN WIN | 7.5% | 13.41 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | ADIOS | 7.1% | 13.99 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | FLYING DRAGON | 6.7% | 14.92 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | ELON | 6.1% | 16.47 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | LUCKY FUN | 4.1% | 24.21 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 3.3% | 30.39 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | SUPER KING | 2.4% | 40.83 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 18.5
PLACE
2 25.5
6 45.5
11 11.5
QUINELLA
2,11 93.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 232.5
2,11 42
6,11 73.5
FORECAST
11,2 132
TIERCE
11,2,6 1,651
TRIO
2,6,11 448
FIRST 4
2,4,6,11 1,619
QUARTET
11,2,6,4 15,495
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 14.5
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
10/2 65.5
10/11 87