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Sha Tin · 2023-03-05 · 16:06

Race 7

Class 1 GOOD (AWT) 1650m 9 runners

Result

Official · 1.37.52
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 EVERYONE'S DELIGHT Closed strongly V/TT 1.37.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · F C Lor 1 27.0 SH
2 0 HANDSOME TWELVE Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung 3 3.0 SH
3 0 APACHE PASS Closed strongly BO/XB S De Sousa · P C Ng 4 5.6 N
4 0 CHANCHENG PRINCE Closed strongly XB/TT R Maia · K W Lui 6 4.4 1/2
5 0 SAVAQUIN Closed strongly P2 A Hamelin · J Size 2 16.0 2-1/2
6 0 SUPER WIN DRAGON Closed strongly V/TT C Y Ho · W Y So 8 10.0 2-3/4
7 0 BERLIN TANGO Closed strongly B/H/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz 7 7.1 3
8 0 TRUE LEGEND B H N Wong · F C Lor 9 9.6 5
9 0 TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early K Teetan · Y S Tsui 5 26.0 7-1/4
— 0 BELUGA M F Poon · D J Hall — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-05 was Class 1 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. EVERYONE'S DELIGHT, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with HANDSOME TWELVE second and APACHE PASS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite HANDSOME TWELVE finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. EVERYONE'S DELIGHT—2. HANDSOME TWELVE+0.1L3. APACHE PASS+0.05L4. CHANCHENG PRINCE+0.5L5. SAVAQUIN+2.5L6. SUPER WIN DRAGON+2.75L7. BERLIN TANGO+3L8. TRUE LEGEND+5L9. TELECOM FIGHTERS+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick HANDSOME TWELVE (20.1%) finished 2nd — the winner EVERYONE'S DELIGHT was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 HANDSOME TWELVE 20.1% 4.99 2
2 0 TRUE LEGEND 15.6% 6.40 8
3 0 EVERYONE'S DELIGHT 14.6% 6.87 1
4 0 BERLIN TANGO 10.7% 9.32 7
5 0 TELECOM FIGHTERS 9.7% 10.32 9
6 0 SAVAQUIN 8.7% 11.52 5
7 0 CHANCHENG PRINCE 7.7% 13.04 4
8 0 APACHE PASS 6.7% 14.90 3
9 0 SUPER WIN DRAGON 6.3% 15.86 6
HANDSOME TWELVETRUE LEGENDEVERYONE'S DELIGHT — wonBERLIN TANGOTELECOM FIGHTERSSAVAQUINCHANCHENG PRINCEAPACHE PASSSUPER WIN DRAGON

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 272

PLACE

6 15.5

8 63

10 14.5

QUINELLA

8,10 427.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,8 190.5

6,10 31

8,10 133

FORECAST

8,10 1,410

TIERCE

8,10,6 7,060

TRIO

6,8,10 650

FIRST 4

4,6,8,10 374

QUARTET

8,10,6,4 17,901

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 36

A2 —

6TH DOUBLE

5/1,10 52

5/8 1,492