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Sha Tin · 2023-03-05 · 16:06

Race 7

Class 1 GOOD (AWT) 1650m 9 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-05 was Class 1 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. EVERYONE'S DELIGHT, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with HANDSOME TWELVE second and APACHE PASS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite HANDSOME TWELVE finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.37.52
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 EVERYONE'S DELIGHT Closed strongly V/TT 1.37.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · F C Lor 1 27.0 SH
2 10 HANDSOME TWELVE Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung 3 3.0 SH
3 6 APACHE PASS Closed strongly BO/XB S De Sousa · P C Ng 4 5.6 N
4 4 CHANCHENG PRINCE Closed strongly XB/TT R Maia · K W Lui 6 4.4 1/2
5 5 SAVAQUIN Closed strongly P2 A Hamelin · J Size 2 16.0 2-1/2
6 9 SUPER WIN DRAGON Closed strongly V/TT C Y Ho · W Y So 8 10.0 2-3/4
7 2 BERLIN TANGO Closed strongly B/H/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz 7 7.1 3
8 7 TRUE LEGEND B H N Wong · F C Lor 9 9.6 5
9 3 TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early K Teetan · Y S Tsui 5 26.0 7-1/4
1 BELUGA M F Poon · D J Hall

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. EVERYONE'S DELIGHT2. HANDSOME TWELVE+0.1L3. APACHE PASS+0.05L4. CHANCHENG PRINCE+0.5L5. SAVAQUIN+2.5L6. SUPER WIN DRAGON+2.75L7. BERLIN TANGO+3L8. TRUE LEGEND+5L9. TELECOM FIGHTERS+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick HANDSOME TWELVE (20.1%) finished 2nd — the winner EVERYONE'S DELIGHT was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 HANDSOME TWELVE 20.1% 4.99 2
2 7 TRUE LEGEND 15.6% 6.40 8
3 8 EVERYONE'S DELIGHT 14.6% 6.87 1
4 2 BERLIN TANGO 10.7% 9.32 7
5 3 TELECOM FIGHTERS 9.7% 10.32 9
6 5 SAVAQUIN 8.7% 11.52 5
7 4 CHANCHENG PRINCE 7.7% 13.04 4
8 6 APACHE PASS 6.7% 14.90 3
9 9 SUPER WIN DRAGON 6.3% 15.86 6
HANDSOME TWELVETRUE LEGENDEVERYONE'S DELIGHT — wonBERLIN TANGOTELECOM FIGHTERSSAVAQUINCHANCHENG PRINCEAPACHE PASSSUPER WIN DRAGON

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 272

PLACE

6 15.5

8 63

10 14.5

QUINELLA

8,10 427.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,8 190.5

6,10 31

8,10 133

FORECAST

8,10 1,410

TIERCE

8,10,6 7,060

TRIO

6,8,10 650

FIRST 4

4,6,8,10 374

QUARTET

8,10,6,4 17,901

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2

A1

A3 36

6TH DOUBLE

5/1,10 52

5/8 1,492