沙田 · 2023-03-05 · 13:32
第 2場
2023-03-05沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由S De Sousa策騎、P F Yiu訓練的EXCELLENT FIGHTER勝出，贏出2-1/2。GALVANIC獲得亞軍；CLASSIC MOON獲得季軍。4.1倍大熱門GOLDEN LUCK跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | EXCELLENT FIGHTER TT 1.09.34 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 10 | 4.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | GALVANIC XB-/CP/TT1 C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 12 | 5.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | CLASSIC MOON CP/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 7 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 14 | RED TITAN TT L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 8 | 9.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | GOLDEN LUCK XB1/TT1 M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 3 | 4.1 | 5 |
| 6 | 10 | PLENTIFUL H1/XB1 A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 1 | 44.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | M UNICORN H/P1/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 14 | 75.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 4 | FUN TOGETHER TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 13 | 21.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | STAR ASCENSION TT H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 5 | 4.1 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | CURLING SPEED B M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 111.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | GOAL ORIENTED SR/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 6 | 103.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SPEEDY CHARIOT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 11 | 14.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 2 | JAZZ CLUB B R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 9 | 87.0 | 7-3/4 |
| — | 7 | CALL ME MIGHTY H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GALVANIC | 21.1% | 4.73 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | EXCELLENT FIGHTER | 17.3% | 5.78 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | STAR ASCENSION | 16.8% | 5.97 | 9 |
| 4 | 11 | SPEEDY CHARIOT | 9.1% | 10.95 | 12 |
| 5 | 4 | FUN TOGETHER | 9.0% | 11.14 | 8 |
| 6 | 14 | RED TITAN | 5.0% | 20.02 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | M UNICORN | 4.0% | 24.88 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | GOLDEN LUCK | 4.0% | 25.29 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | CLASSIC MOON | 3.9% | 25.40 | 3 |
| 10 | 10 | PLENTIFUL | 3.9% | 25.86 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | JAZZ CLUB | 3.1% | 32.21 | 13 |
| 12 | 8 | CURLING SPEED | 1.5% | 68.08 | 10 |
| 13 | 13 | GOAL ORIENTED | 1.4% | 72.80 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 47
PLACE
1 61.5
3 19
6 18
QUINELLA
3,6 144.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 203
1,6 161
3,6 55
FORECAST
3,6 286
TIERCE
3,6,1 4,206
TRIO
1,3,6 743
FIRST 4
1,3,6,14 1,908
QUARTET
3,6,1,14 35,073
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE
6/3 617
6/6 97.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,13/1,3,6 10,081
3 PICK 1
A2 18
A3 —
A1 —