沙田 · 2023-04-02 · 17:53
第 10場
2023-04-02沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、J Richards訓練的ALACRITY勝出，贏出3/4。YOUNG BRILLIANT獲得亞軍；NICHOLSON RETURNS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ALACRITY 後段發力 TT 1.49.06 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 14 | 3.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 14 | YOUNG BRILLIANT B1 V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 11 | 133.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | NICHOLSON RETURNS 後段發力 B C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 8 | 5.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | ESCAPE ROUTE H L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 10 | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | BULLETPROOF V R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 3 | 54.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | SMILING TIME 後段發力 V/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 5 | 7.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | LA CITY BLANCHE 後段發力 H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 7.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | INTREPID WINNER B H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 1 | 18.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | ENJOYING B/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 2 | 34.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | PRINCE ALEX CP/SR A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 6 | 9.6 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | ROMANTIC CHARM B/TT S De Sousa · C S Shum | S De Sousa | C S Shum | 12 | 35.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | PRECISE EXPRESS 後段發力 H M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 7 | 18.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 12 | SATIRICAL GLORY 早段領放 H K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 9 | 12.0 | 17-1/2 |
| 14 | 6 | SUPERBELLA B/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 13 | 75.0 | 20-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ALACRITY | 17.8% | 5.62 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | NICHOLSON RETURNS | 14.0% | 7.12 | 3 |
| 3 | 13 | SMILING TIME | 12.0% | 8.30 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | ROMANTIC CHARM | 10.0% | 10.05 | 11 |
| 5 | 12 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 9.7% | 10.35 | 13 |
| 6 | 4 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 5.5% | 18.29 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | PRINCE ALEX | 5.0% | 19.80 | 10 |
| 8 | 3 | ENJOYING | 4.8% | 20.80 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | BULLETPROOF | 4.8% | 20.98 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | INTREPID WINNER | 4.5% | 22.04 | 8 |
| 11 | 1 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 4.5% | 22.41 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 4.0% | 24.95 | 12 |
| 13 | 6 | SUPERBELLA | 2.7% | 37.42 | 14 |
| 14 | 14 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 0.7% | 137.67 | 2 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 32
PLACE
2 16
9 20.5
14 246.5
QUINELLA
2,14 2,430
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 41.5
2,14 780
9,14 1,046.5
FORECAST
2,14 3,188
TIERCE
2,14,9 27,435
TRIO
2,9,14 2,860
FIRST 4
2,4,9,14 11,302
QUARTET
2,14,9,4 324,314
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 19.5
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,9/2,9,14 189,757
9TH DOUBLE
9/2 403.5
9/14 1,197.5
SIX UP
2,13/3,10/3,8/9,11/6,9/2,14 21,689
13/10/8/11/9/2 2,837,277
1 [Z Purton] —
7 [P F Yiu], 13 [J Richards] —
TREBLE
11/9/2 1,774
11/9/14 8,051