沙田 · 2023-04-02 · 15:12
第 5場
2023-04-02沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、A T Millard訓練的SPEED FAY FAY勝出，贏出SH。HAPPY FOR ALL獲得亞軍；BLUE MARLIN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.7倍大熱門HAPPY FOR ALL跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | SPEED FAY FAY 後段發力 B 1.23.61 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 4 | 7.8 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | HAPPY FOR ALL 後段發力 CP/H2/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 7 | 2.7 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | BLUE MARLIN 後段發力 H H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 9 | 9.2 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 14 | CHARMING STEED TT C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 10 | 86.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | BROTHER PEARL 後段發力 B R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 5 | 132.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | TURTLE AGAIN 後段發力 B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 74.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | JOYFUL GENIUS L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 1 | 6.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | DRAGON STAR B/XB Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 2 | 86.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | DREAM PURSUER V K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 8.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | JIANGXI STAMINA 後段發力 B/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 14 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | REGENT GLORY 早段領放 K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 3 | 5.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | TRAVEL GUIDE XB/TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 11 | 128.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 3 | HELENE WISDOM STAR B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 12 | 14.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 4 | SEIZE THE DREAM B- H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 13 | 174.0 | 13-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | JOYFUL GENIUS | 22.7% | 4.40 | 7 |
| 2 | 2 | HAPPY FOR ALL | 20.1% | 4.97 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | REGENT GLORY | 16.7% | 5.98 | 11 |
| 4 | 13 | SPEED FAY FAY | 8.3% | 12.09 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 8.1% | 12.34 | 13 |
| 6 | 1 | DREAM PURSUER | 6.2% | 16.19 | 9 |
| 7 | 5 | BLUE MARLIN | 5.3% | 19.00 | 3 |
| 8 | 14 | CHARMING STEED | 3.7% | 27.01 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 3.6% | 27.82 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | DRAGON STAR | 1.3% | 76.99 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | TRAVEL GUIDE | 1.1% | 92.96 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | SEIZE THE DREAM | 1.0% | 99.85 | 14 |
| 13 | 11 | TURTLE AGAIN | 1.0% | 103.20 | 6 |
| 14 | 8 | BROTHER PEARL | 1.0% | 104.02 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 78
PLACE
2 13.5
5 31
13 24
QUINELLA
2,13 117.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 56.5
2,13 45
5,13 105.5
FORECAST
13,2 337
TIERCE
13,2,5 2,130
TRIO
2,5,13 246
FIRST 4
2,5,13,14 3,261
QUARTET
13,2,5,14 56,091
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 28.5
4TH DOUBLE
9/2 44
9/13 540