沙田 · 2023-04-02 · 13:16
第 2場
2023-04-02沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Ferraris策騎、D J Whyte訓練的THE GOOD DEAL勝出，贏出N。DAY DAY RICH獲得亞軍；HEAVENLY THOUGHT獲得季軍。2.1倍大熱門INSPIRING CITY跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | THE GOOD DEAL TT 1.10.90 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 12 | 6.1 | N |
| 2 | 9 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 10 | 13.0 | N |
| 3 | 11 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 8 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT S De Sousa · W Y So | S De Sousa | W Y So | 11 | 25.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | ENCORE B1/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 13 | 37.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | CALL ME LU TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 9 | 125.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | GOLDEN MISSION B/TT C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 1 | 9.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | INSPIRING CITY Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 3 | 2.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | HAPPILY FRIENDS V M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 36.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | HANDSOME GUYS TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 6 | 8.1 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | HAPPY FOREVER V/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 7 | 12.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | ALL IS READY B R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 5 | 34.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 5 | SMILING MOON B H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 2 | 119.0 | 14-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SUPER CLASS V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | FANTASY SPRING H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
| — | 14 | DASHING GENIUS Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | INSPIRING CITY | 26.8% | 3.74 | 8 |
| 2 | 6 | GOLDEN MISSION | 12.0% | 8.33 | 7 |
| 3 | 8 | THE GOOD DEAL | 9.0% | 11.08 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | HANDSOME GUYS | 8.4% | 11.95 | 10 |
| 5 | 13 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 7.1% | 14.06 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | ALL IS READY | 7.1% | 14.12 | 12 |
| 7 | 1 | HAPPY FOREVER | 6.8% | 14.61 | 11 |
| 8 | 9 | DAY DAY RICH | 5.8% | 17.31 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 5.3% | 18.93 | 3 |
| 10 | 7 | ENCORE | 4.7% | 21.14 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 4.0% | 24.88 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | CALL ME LU | 1.8% | 54.32 | 6 |
| 13 | 5 | SMILING MOON | 1.1% | 87.43 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 61.5
PLACE
8 20.5
9 45
11 32
QUINELLA
8,9 424.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 121
8,11 103
9,11 233.5
FORECAST
8,9 801
TIERCE
8,9,11 6,921
TRIO
8,9,11 1,719
FIRST 4
8,9,11,13 5,538
QUARTET
8,9,11,13 86,053
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE
13/8 396.5
13/9 79.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,8,13/8,9,11 1,191,384
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 26.5
A2 —