沙田 · 2023-04-02 · 15:42
第 6場
2023-04-02沙田第6場，Class 4，途程2000米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bentley策騎、D J Whyte訓練的WONDER YEARS勝出，贏出1/2。KOWLOON GREAT獲得亞軍；HAPPY WON獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。5.5倍大熱門KOWLOON GREAT跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | WONDER YEARS 後段發力 B/XB/TT 2.05.43 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 13 | 41.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | KOWLOON GREAT 後段發力 CP/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 1 | 5.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 13 | HAPPY WON C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 9 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | VINCY 後段發力 SR/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 10 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | FLYING MOJITO 早段領放 CP-/XB K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 4 | 5.8 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | SUPER HONG KONG 後段發力 B/TT M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 6 | 9.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | SUNNY BABY S De Sousa · D A Hayes | S De Sousa | D A Hayes | 5 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | GO GO SIXTEEN 後段發力 B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 12 | 8.7 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | REGENCY MASTER B/TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 11 | 31.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | PERFECT TO GREAT SR/TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 7 | 20.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | INCANTO PREPARED E/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 3 | 10.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | WINNING STEPS H/PC A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 8 | 15.0 | 10 |
| 13 | 5 | ROBOT WARRIOR V L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 2 | 6.2 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | KOWLOON GREAT | 18.1% | 5.53 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | FLYING MOJITO | 14.5% | 6.88 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | INCANTO PREPARED | 11.6% | 8.63 | 11 |
| 4 | 12 | SUNNY BABY | 9.4% | 10.68 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 7.6% | 13.09 | 8 |
| 6 | 4 | WINNING STEPS | 6.9% | 14.46 | 12 |
| 7 | 6 | SUPER HONG KONG | 6.6% | 15.18 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 5.0% | 20.02 | 10 |
| 9 | 13 | HAPPY WON | 4.6% | 21.74 | 3 |
| 10 | 5 | ROBOT WARRIOR | 4.5% | 22.42 | 13 |
| 11 | 11 | REGENCY MASTER | 4.2% | 23.96 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | VINCY | 4.0% | 25.20 | 4 |
| 13 | 10 | WONDER YEARS | 3.1% | 32.47 | 1 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 415.5
PLACE
3 22.5
10 109
13 42.5
QUINELLA
3,10 1,206
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 381
3,13 183
10,13 658.5
FORECAST
10,3 2,365
TIERCE
10,3,13 32,065
TRIO
3,10,13 6,148
FIRST 4
3,9,10,13 16,295
QUARTET
10,3,13,9 462,972
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 18
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,13/3,10,13 343,406
5TH DOUBLE
13/3 100.5
13/10 3,823
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,9,14/2,5,13/Any Combination 2,085