沙田 · 2023-04-02 · 16:11
第 7場
2023-04-02沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、J Richards訓練的ROMANTIC LAOS勝出，贏出2-1/2。D STAR獲得亞軍；LADY'S CHOICE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.9倍大熱門JUNE PLANET跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | ROMANTIC LAOS 後段發力 H/TT 1.23.24 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 5 | 4.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | D STAR 後段發力 B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 20.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | LADY'S CHOICE 後段發力 B/H A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 10 | 66.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | JUNE PLANET 後段發力 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 2.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | WIN WIN 後段發力 B2 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 8.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | NATURAL GOLD SR/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 14 | 28.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | FIRE BALL 早段領放 R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 12 | 43.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | WIDE BLUE YONDER B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 2 | 5.5 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | SPEEDSTAR B K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 4 | 28.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | BEAUTY TURN SR A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 9 | 55.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | HERO ICON TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 13 | 11.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | MAGIC TORONADO XB- L Currie · W Y So | L Currie | W Y So | 11 | 178.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | NORDIC COMBINED B/TT V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 3 | 16.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 13 | SHENZHOU TWELVE B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 180.0 | 16-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WIDE BLUE YONDER | 16.3% | 6.14 | 8 |
| 2 | 12 | SPEEDSTAR | 14.5% | 6.88 | 9 |
| 3 | 8 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 14.1% | 7.09 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | JUNE PLANET | 12.4% | 8.08 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | D STAR | 9.3% | 10.80 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | HERO ICON | 9.1% | 10.99 | 11 |
| 7 | 9 | WIN WIN | 5.6% | 17.79 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | NATURAL GOLD | 5.4% | 18.39 | 6 |
| 9 | 14 | NORDIC COMBINED | 5.3% | 18.96 | 13 |
| 10 | 1 | BEAUTY TURN | 2.8% | 36.16 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | LADY'S CHOICE | 2.2% | 44.99 | 3 |
| 12 | 11 | FIRE BALL | 1.2% | 83.76 | 7 |
| 13 | 13 | SHENZHOU TWELVE | 1.0% | 97.93 | 14 |
| 14 | 4 | MAGIC TORONADO | 0.8% | 120.73 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 41
PLACE
3 43
8 16.5
10 143.5
QUINELLA
3,8 368
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 131
3,10 1,188.5
8,10 348.5
FORECAST
8,3 594
TIERCE
8,3,10 27,402
TRIO
3,8,10 5,288
FIRST 4
3,5,8,10 3,781
QUARTET
8,3,10,5 103,390
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
10/3 861
10/8 1,642