Sha Tin · 2023-04-02 · 15:42
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-02 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. WONDER YEARS, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1/2, with KOWLOON GREAT second and HAPPY WON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.5 favourite KOWLOON GREAT finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | WONDER YEARS Closed strongly B/XB/TT 2.05.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 13 | 41.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | KOWLOON GREAT Closed strongly CP/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 1 | 5.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 13 | HAPPY WON C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 9 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | VINCY Closed strongly SR/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 10 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | FLYING MOJITO Led early CP-/XB K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 4 | 5.8 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 6 | 9.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | SUNNY BABY S De Sousa · D A Hayes | S De Sousa | D A Hayes | 5 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | GO GO SIXTEEN Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 12 | 8.7 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | REGENCY MASTER B/TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 11 | 31.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | PERFECT TO GREAT SR/TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 7 | 20.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | INCANTO PREPARED E/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 3 | 10.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | WINNING STEPS H/PC A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 8 | 15.0 | 10 |
| 13 | 5 | ROBOT WARRIOR V L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 2 | 6.2 | 11-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | KOWLOON GREAT | 18.1% | 5.53 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | FLYING MOJITO | 14.5% | 6.88 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | INCANTO PREPARED | 11.6% | 8.63 | 11 |
| 4 | 12 | SUNNY BABY | 9.4% | 10.68 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 7.6% | 13.09 | 8 |
| 6 | 4 | WINNING STEPS | 6.9% | 14.46 | 12 |
| 7 | 6 | SUPER HONG KONG | 6.6% | 15.18 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 5.0% | 20.02 | 10 |
| 9 | 13 | HAPPY WON | 4.6% | 21.74 | 3 |
| 10 | 5 | ROBOT WARRIOR | 4.5% | 22.42 | 13 |
| 11 | 11 | REGENCY MASTER | 4.2% | 23.96 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | VINCY | 4.0% | 25.20 | 4 |
| 13 | 10 | WONDER YEARS | 3.1% | 32.47 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 415.5
PLACE
3 22.5
10 109
13 42.5
QUINELLA
3,10 1,206
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 381
3,13 183
10,13 658.5
FORECAST
10,3 2,365
TIERCE
10,3,13 32,065
TRIO
3,10,13 6,148
FIRST 4
3,9,10,13 16,295
QUARTET
10,3,13,9 462,972
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 18
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,13/3,10,13 343,406
5TH DOUBLE
13/3 100.5
13/10 3,823
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,9,14/2,5,13/Any Combination 2,085