Sha Tin · 2023-04-02 · 17:53
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ALACRITY Closed strongly TT 1.49.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 14 | 3.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | YOUNG BRILLIANT B1 V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 11 | 133.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | NICHOLSON RETURNS Closed strongly B C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 8 | 5.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ESCAPE ROUTE H L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 10 | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | BULLETPROOF V R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 3 | 54.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SMILING TIME Closed strongly V/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 5 | 7.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | LA CITY BLANCHE Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 7.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER B/BR H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 1 | 18.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | ENJOYING B/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 2 | 34.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | ROMANTIC CHARM B/TT S De Sousa · C S Shum | S De Sousa | C S Shum | 12 | 35.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly H M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 7 | 18.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | SATIRICAL GLORY Led early H K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 9 | 12.0 | 17-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | SUPERBELLA B/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 13 | 75.0 | 20-1/2 |
| — | 0 | PRINCE ALEX CP/SR A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | — | 9.6 | 5-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-02 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. ALACRITY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Richards, won by 3/4, with YOUNG BRILLIANT second and NICHOLSON RETURNS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ALACRITY | 17.8% | 5.62 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | NICHOLSON RETURNS | 14.0% | 7.12 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | SMILING TIME | 12.0% | 8.30 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | ROMANTIC CHARM | 10.0% | 10.05 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 9.7% | 10.35 | 13 |
| 6 | 0 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 5.5% | 18.29 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | PRINCE ALEX | 5.0% | 19.80 | — |
| 8 | 0 | ENJOYING | 4.8% | 20.80 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | BULLETPROOF | 4.8% | 20.98 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER | 4.5% | 22.04 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 4.5% | 22.41 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 4.0% | 24.95 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | SUPERBELLA | 2.7% | 37.42 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 0.7% | 137.67 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 32
PLACE
2 16
9 20.5
14 246.5
QUINELLA
2,14 2,430
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 41.5
2,14 780
9,14 1,046.5
FORECAST
2,14 3,188
TIERCE
2,14,9 27,435
TRIO
2,9,14 2,860
FIRST 4
2,4,9,14 11,302
QUARTET
2,14,9,4 324,314
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 19.5
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,9/2,9,14 189,757
9TH DOUBLE
9/2 403.5
9/14 1,197.5
SIX UP
2,13/3,10/3,8/9,11/6,9/2,14 21,689
13/10/8/11/9/2 2,837,277
1 [Z Purton] —
7 [P F Yiu], 13 [J Richards] —
TREBLE
11/9/2 1,774
11/9/14 8,051