Sha Tin · 2023-04-02 · 13:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-02 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. THE GOOD DEAL, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with DAY DAY RICH second and HEAVENLY THOUGHT third. The 2.1 favourite INSPIRING CITY finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | THE GOOD DEAL TT 1.10.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 12 | 6.1 | N |
| 2 | 9 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 10 | 13.0 | N |
| 3 | 11 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 8 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT S De Sousa · W Y So | S De Sousa | W Y So | 11 | 25.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | ENCORE B1/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 13 | 37.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | CALL ME LU TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 9 | 125.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | GOLDEN MISSION B/TT C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 1 | 9.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | INSPIRING CITY Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 3 | 2.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | HAPPILY FRIENDS V M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 36.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | HANDSOME GUYS TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 6 | 8.1 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | HAPPY FOREVER V/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 7 | 12.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | ALL IS READY B R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 5 | 34.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 5 | SMILING MOON B H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 2 | 119.0 | 14-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SUPER CLASS V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | FANTASY SPRING H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
| — | 14 | DASHING GENIUS Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | INSPIRING CITY | 26.8% | 3.74 | 8 |
| 2 | 6 | GOLDEN MISSION | 12.0% | 8.33 | 7 |
| 3 | 8 | THE GOOD DEAL | 9.0% | 11.08 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | HANDSOME GUYS | 8.4% | 11.95 | 10 |
| 5 | 13 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 7.1% | 14.06 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | ALL IS READY | 7.1% | 14.12 | 12 |
| 7 | 1 | HAPPY FOREVER | 6.8% | 14.61 | 11 |
| 8 | 9 | DAY DAY RICH | 5.8% | 17.31 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 5.3% | 18.93 | 3 |
| 10 | 7 | ENCORE | 4.7% | 21.14 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 4.0% | 24.88 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | CALL ME LU | 1.8% | 54.32 | 6 |
| 13 | 5 | SMILING MOON | 1.1% | 87.43 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 61.5
PLACE
8 20.5
9 45
11 32
QUINELLA
8,9 424.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 121
8,11 103
9,11 233.5
FORECAST
8,9 801
TIERCE
8,9,11 6,921
TRIO
8,9,11 1,719
FIRST 4
8,9,11,13 5,538
QUARTET
8,9,11,13 86,053
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE
13/8 396.5
13/9 79.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,8,13/8,9,11 1,191,384
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 26.5
A2 —