Sha Tin · 2023-04-02 · 14:19
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-02 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. BRILLIANT LIFE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C H Yip, won by 3-1/2, with SPEEDY FORTUNE second and VICTORY SCHOLARS third. The 3.3 favourite EQUILIBRIUM TURBO finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | BRILLIANT LIFE B 0.56.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 6 | 3.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 2 | 14 | SPEEDY FORTUNE S De Sousa · J Size | S De Sousa | J Size | 10 | 5.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | VICTORY SCHOLARS V Y L Chung · C Fownes | Y L Chung | C Fownes | 3 | 7.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | SWEET BRIAR B1/TT1 H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 5 | 57.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | EQUILIBRIUM TURBO B/TT Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 14 | 3.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | HEALTHY HEALTHY H1 K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 11 | 7.5 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | SPEEDY CHARIOT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 13 | 25.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 8 | 39.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | HAPPY HORSE B/H2/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 9 | 97.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT C Wong · D A Hayes | C Wong | D A Hayes | 2 | 33.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | DASHING TRIUMPH CP/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 4 | 49.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | REGENCY STAR CP A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 7 | 117.0 | 10 |
| 13 | 13 | GENEROUS FRIEND B1 R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 12 | 138.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 3 | FORTE CP/XB/TT A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 1 | 30.0 | 17-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | EQUILIBRIUM TURBO | 18.6% | 5.36 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | FORTE | 18.5% | 5.40 | 14 |
| 3 | 2 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 17.0% | 5.88 | 3 |
| 4 | 14 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 9.7% | 10.27 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | TEAM SPIRIT | 6.5% | 15.27 | 10 |
| 6 | 9 | BRILLIANT LIFE | 5.6% | 17.90 | 1 |
| 7 | 11 | DASHING TRIUMPH | 5.6% | 17.99 | 11 |
| 8 | 5 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 4.5% | 22.15 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | SPEEDY CHARIOT | 3.9% | 25.72 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | REGENCY STAR | 3.0% | 33.86 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | SWEET BRIAR | 2.5% | 40.76 | 4 |
| 12 | 6 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 1.9% | 51.90 | 8 |
| 13 | 12 | HAPPY HORSE | 1.7% | 59.61 | 9 |
| 14 | 13 | GENEROUS FRIEND | 1.0% | 101.57 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 38.5
PLACE
2 22
9 17
14 17
QUINELLA
9,14 127
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 60.5
2,14 56
9,14 53.5
FORECAST
9,14 209
TIERCE
9,14,2 1,447
TRIO
2,9,14 268
FIRST 4
2,8,9,14 2,534
QUARTET
9,14,2,8 31,451
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,8/2,9,14 14,338
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
7/9 334
7/14 37