Sha Tin · 2023-04-02 · 15:12
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY Closed strongly B 1.23.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 4 | 7.8 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY FOR ALL Closed strongly CP/H2/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 7 | 2.7 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | BLUE MARLIN Closed strongly H H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 9 | 9.2 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | CHARMING STEED TT C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 10 | 86.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BROTHER PEARL Closed strongly B R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 5 | 132.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | TURTLE AGAIN Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 74.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | JOYFUL GENIUS L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 1 | 6.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | DRAGON STAR B/XB Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 2 | 86.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | DREAM PURSUER V K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 8.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | JIANGXI STAMINA Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 14 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | REGENT GLORY Led early K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 3 | 5.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | TRAVEL GUIDE XB/TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 11 | 128.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 12 | 14.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | SEIZE THE DREAM B- H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 13 | 174.0 | 13-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-02 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SPEED FAY FAY, ridden by A Badel and trained by A T Millard, won by SH, with HAPPY FOR ALL second and BLUE MARLIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite HAPPY FOR ALL finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JOYFUL GENIUS | 22.7% | 4.40 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY FOR ALL | 20.1% | 4.97 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | REGENT GLORY | 16.7% | 5.98 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY | 8.3% | 12.09 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 8.1% | 12.34 | 13 |
| 6 | 0 | DREAM PURSUER | 6.2% | 16.19 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | BLUE MARLIN | 5.3% | 19.00 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | CHARMING STEED | 3.7% | 27.01 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 3.6% | 27.82 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | DRAGON STAR | 1.3% | 76.99 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | TRAVEL GUIDE | 1.1% | 92.96 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | SEIZE THE DREAM | 1.0% | 99.85 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | TURTLE AGAIN | 1.0% | 103.20 | 6 |
| 14 | 0 | BROTHER PEARL | 1.0% | 104.02 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 78
PLACE
2 13.5
5 31
13 24
QUINELLA
2,13 117.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 56.5
2,13 45
5,13 105.5
FORECAST
13,2 337
TIERCE
13,2,5 2,130
TRIO
2,5,13 246
FIRST 4
2,5,13,14 3,261
QUARTET
13,2,5,14 56,091
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 28.5
4TH DOUBLE
9/2 44
9/13 540