Sha Tin · 2023-04-02 · 12:47
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-02 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. EASY SNIP, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by SH, with WATCH BUDDY second and SIMPLE HEDGE third. The 2.3 favourite FLAMINGO TRILLION finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | EASY SNIP B 1.10.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 4.0 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | WATCH BUDDY H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 9 | 79.0 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | SIMPLE HEDGE Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 13 | 9.9 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | JOY COMING TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | DUBLIN STAR B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 8 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 14 | FIGHTING STAR B A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 7 | 5.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 2 | 42.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | FLAMINGO TRILLION K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 3 | 2.3 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | VANQUISHER SR-/B1/H1/TT V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 6 | 39.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | SUPER CONTENTED XB1/TT1 K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 11 | 57.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | PLENTIFUL H/XB A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 4 | 24.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | DASHING GLORY SR/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 5 | 110.0 | 17 |
| 13 | 1 | PLENTY PLENTY H/TT L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 1 | 69.0 | 19 |
| — | 0 | STORMTROUPER · C H Yip | — | C H Yip | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | DRAGON ADMIRAL L Ferraris · Y S Tsui | L Ferraris | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
| — | 11 | CHILL WAY M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SIMPLE HEDGE | 23.2% | 4.31 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 17.4% | 5.75 | 8 |
| 3 | 13 | EASY SNIP | 16.6% | 6.03 | 1 |
| 4 | 14 | FIGHTING STAR | 9.9% | 10.10 | 6 |
| 5 | 4 | JOY COMING | 8.1% | 12.35 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | DUBLIN STAR | 7.4% | 13.54 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | SUPER CONTENTED | 4.9% | 20.57 | 10 |
| 8 | 9 | PLENTIFUL | 4.5% | 22.14 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | WATCH BUDDY | 3.5% | 28.60 | 2 |
| 10 | 7 | VANQUISHER | 1.6% | 63.41 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 1.3% | 75.24 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | DASHING GLORY | 0.9% | 114.32 | 12 |
| 13 | 1 | PLENTY PLENTY | 0.8% | 132.84 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 40.5
PLACE
5 31
8 169.5
13 14.5
QUINELLA
8,13 1,568
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 878.5
5,13 68.5
8,13 425
FORECAST
13,8 2,103
TIERCE
13,8,5 19,780
TRIO
5,8,13 3,983
FIRST 4
4,5,8,13 7,651
QUARTET
13,8,5,4 167,882
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 14.5
A2 —
A3 —