Sha Tin · 2023-04-02 · 13:46
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SPIRITED EXPRESS Closed strongly B 1.37.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 4 | 5.4 | N |
| 2 | 0 | AMAZING VICTORY Closed strongly H K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 3 | 3.9 | N |
| 3 | 0 | BOURBONAIRE Closed strongly H A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 6 | 8.3 | N |
| 4 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 7 | 2.8 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Led early B M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 5 | 7.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | CHANCHENG PRINCE XB/TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 2 | 37.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT Closed strongly CP2/TT S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 8 | 39.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | TURIN REDSUN B/TT Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 1 | 9.0 | 6-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-02 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SPIRITED EXPRESS, ridden by A Badel and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with AMAZING VICTORY second and BOURBONAIRE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite CALIFORNIA TEN finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 20.2% | 4.95 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 18.8% | 5.32 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | AMAZING VICTORY | 18.0% | 5.57 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SPIRITED EXPRESS | 12.6% | 7.93 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 9.8% | 10.18 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT | 9.2% | 10.83 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | TURIN REDSUN | 8.5% | 11.82 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | BOURBONAIRE | 2.9% | 34.09 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 54.5
PLACE
4 25.5
7 17
8 15.5
QUINELLA
7,8 112
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 63.5
4,8 51
7,8 38
FORECAST
7,8 178
TIERCE
7,8,4 1,240
TRIO
4,7,8 184
FIRST 4
4,6,7,8 136
QUARTET
7,8,4,6 4,186
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
8/7 443
8/8 58.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 23
A3 —