Sha Tin · 2023-04-02 · 17:19
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-02 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BRAVE DREAMS, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with BUNDLE OF CHARM second and GOOD BUDDY third. The 2.3 favourite WONDER KIT finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | BRAVE DREAMS TT 1.10.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 8.4 | N |
| 2 | 6 | BUNDLE OF CHARM Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 3.9 | N |
| 3 | 2 | GOOD BUDDY L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 3 | 6.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | HAPPY MISSION H/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 11 | 31.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | SPEEDY MOUSE V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 9 | 44.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | WONDER KIT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 2.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | SEIZING THE MOMENT B K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 12 | 59.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | SHOW RESPECT SR/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 4 | 43.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | LIKE THAT V S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 7 | 27.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | HERO STAR TT K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 1 | 46.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | SOLID SHALAA L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 5 | 45.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | SUPER FORTUNE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 10.0 | 12-1/4 |
| — | 12 | DECISIVE TWELVE A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 16.6% | 6.02 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | WONDER KIT | 15.8% | 6.32 | 6 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPER FORTUNE | 12.0% | 8.36 | 12 |
| 4 | 9 | BRAVE DREAMS | 9.7% | 10.34 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | GOOD BUDDY | 9.4% | 10.66 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | LIKE THAT | 7.2% | 13.92 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 6.2% | 16.24 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | HAPPY MISSION | 5.9% | 16.90 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | SPEEDY MOUSE | 5.9% | 16.94 | 5 |
| 10 | 13 | HERO STAR | 5.2% | 19.19 | 10 |
| 11 | 1 | SHOW RESPECT | 3.4% | 29.19 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | SOLID SHALAA | 2.8% | 36.35 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 84
PLACE
2 23
6 16
9 21
QUINELLA
6,9 173.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 46.5
2,9 83.5
6,9 55
FORECAST
9,6 477
TIERCE
9,6,2 2,298
TRIO
2,6,9 261
FIRST 4
2,6,8,9 1,802
QUARTET
9,6,2,8 38,502
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 18.5
A2 —
8TH DOUBLE
11/6 67
11/9 404.5