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Sha Tin · 2023-04-02 · 16:43

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course A+3 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.23.57
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GOLDEN ARTIE Closed strongly H/XB 1.23.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · P F Yiu 5 6.9 1/2
2 0 JADE PHOENIX Led early CP/TT Y L Chung · F C Lor 8 35.0 1/2
4 0 NOT USUAL STAR Closed strongly H/TT M Chadwick · W Y So 10 12.0 4
5 0 SEASONS BLISS K C Leung · K H Ting 3 15.0 4-1/4
6 0 NEVER TOO SOON Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · D J Hall 2 23.0 4-1/2
7 0 COUNTRY BOY H/P/TT A Badel · J Size 7 35.0 5-3/4
8 0 BEATO Closed strongly TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 12 21.0 6-1/4
9 0 CAPTAIN WIN Closed strongly B/XB/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng 11 10.0 6-1/4
10 0 WIN WIN FIGHTER H N Wong · K W Lui 6 171.0 8-1/2
11 0 CHRYSOS H Bentley · C Fownes 4 123.0 9
12 0 CAPE BRETON CP-/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte 1 46.0 9-1/2
— 0 CHIU CHOW SPIRIT Closed strongly CP1/TT Z Purton · T P Yung — 1.5 3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-02 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN ARTIE, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with JADE PHOENIX second and NOT USUAL STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.5 favourite CHIU CHOW SPIRIT did not finish.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN ARTIE—2. JADE PHOENIX+0.5L4. NOT USUAL STAR+4L5. SEASONS BLISS+4.25L6. NEVER TOO SOON+4.5L7. COUNTRY BOY+5.75L8. BEATO+6.25L9. CAPTAIN WIN+6.25L10. WIN WIN FIGHTER+8.5L11. CHRYSOS+9L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 CHIU CHOW SPIRIT 29.1% 3.44 —
2 0 GOLDEN ARTIE 21.8% 4.58 1
3 0 CAPTAIN WIN 8.6% 11.69 9
4 0 NOT USUAL STAR 7.9% 12.70 4
5 0 BEATO 6.9% 14.53 8
6 0 NEVER TOO SOON 6.4% 15.69 6
7 0 COUNTRY BOY 4.8% 20.75 7
8 0 SEASONS BLISS 4.7% 21.26 5
9 0 JADE PHOENIX 4.5% 22.04 2
10 0 CAPE BRETON 2.6% 38.65 12
11 0 WIN WIN FIGHTER 1.8% 54.72 10
12 0 CHRYSOS 0.9% 112.14 11
CHIU CHOW SPIRITGOLDEN ARTIE — wonCAPTAIN WINNOT USUAL STARBEATONEVER TOO SOONCOUNTRY BOYSEASONS BLISSJADE PHOENIXCAPE BRETONWIN WIN FIGHTERCHRYSOS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 69.5

PLACE

4 11

9 57.5

11 18.5

QUINELLA

9,11 806

QUINELLA PLACE

4,9 89.5

4,11 24.5

9,11 214.5

FORECAST

11,9 1,177

TIERCE

11,9,4 3,614

TRIO

4,9,11 401

FIRST 4

2,4,9,11 595

QUARTET

11,9,4,2 23,454

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 —

A2 33

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,8,10/4,9,11 227,184

7TH DOUBLE

8/9 340.5

8/11 171.5