Sha Tin · 2023-04-02 · 16:43
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-02 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN ARTIE, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with JADE PHOENIX second and CHIU CHOW SPIRIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.5 favourite CHIU CHOW SPIRIT finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | GOLDEN ARTIE Closed strongly H/XB 1.23.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 5 | 6.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | JADE PHOENIX Led early CP/TT Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 8 | 35.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT Closed strongly CP1/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 9 | 1.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | NOT USUAL STAR Closed strongly H/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 10 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | SEASONS BLISS K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 3 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | NEVER TOO SOON Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 2 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | COUNTRY BOY H/P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 7 | 35.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | BEATO Closed strongly TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 21.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | CAPTAIN WIN Closed strongly B/XB/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 11 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | WIN WIN FIGHTER H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 6 | 171.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | CHRYSOS H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 4 | 123.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 7 | CAPE BRETON CP-/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 1 | 46.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 29.1% | 3.44 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | GOLDEN ARTIE | 21.8% | 4.58 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | CAPTAIN WIN | 8.6% | 11.69 | 9 |
| 4 | 2 | NOT USUAL STAR | 7.9% | 12.70 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | BEATO | 6.9% | 14.53 | 8 |
| 6 | 1 | NEVER TOO SOON | 6.4% | 15.69 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | COUNTRY BOY | 4.8% | 20.75 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | SEASONS BLISS | 4.7% | 21.26 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | JADE PHOENIX | 4.5% | 22.04 | 2 |
| 10 | 7 | CAPE BRETON | 2.6% | 38.65 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 1.8% | 54.72 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | CHRYSOS | 0.9% | 112.14 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 69.5
PLACE
4 11
9 57.5
11 18.5
QUINELLA
9,11 806
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 89.5
4,11 24.5
9,11 214.5
FORECAST
11,9 1,177
TIERCE
11,9,4 3,614
TRIO
4,9,11 401
FIRST 4
2,4,9,11 595
QUARTET
11,9,4,2 23,454
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 33
A1 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,10/4,9,11 227,184
7TH DOUBLE
8/9 340.5
8/11 171.5