沙田 · 2023-05-21 · 16:40
第 8場
2023-05-21沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、D A Hayes訓練的LUCKY ENCOUNTER勝出，贏出3/4。REWARD SMILE獲得亞軍；NORTHERN BEACHES獲得季軍。頭馬以2.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER 1.09.18 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 2.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | REWARD SMILE L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 2 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | NORTHERN BEACHES M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 86.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | SILVER SONIC XB H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 12 | 28.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | SHINING GEM B E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 4 | 23.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 1 | 40.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | SHOW RESPECT SR/XB/TT B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 8 | 42.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | READY TO WIN XB/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 7 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | PRINCE OF PORTY Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 11 | 3.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | NISHIKADO P1 K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 187.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 1 | KIMBERLEY L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 10 | 194.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 2 | O'LINER C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | PRINCE OF PORTY | 36.0% | 2.78 | 9 |
| 2 | 11 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER | 31.1% | 3.22 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | REWARD SMILE | 13.0% | 7.69 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | READY TO WIN | 5.2% | 19.34 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | SHINING GEM | 4.4% | 22.99 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 3.2% | 31.14 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | NORTHERN BEACHES | 2.7% | 36.44 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | SILVER SONIC | 1.7% | 59.05 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | SHOW RESPECT | 1.6% | 61.45 | 7 |
| 10 | 1 | KIMBERLEY | 0.7% | 144.86 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | NISHIKADO | 0.5% | 214.51 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 22.5
PLACE
5 14.5
9 115
11 12.5
QUINELLA
5,11 43.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 341.5
5,11 20
9,11 201
FORECAST
11,5 85
TIERCE
11,5,9 1,727
TRIO
5,9,11 549
FIRST 4
5,9,10,11 2,702
QUARTET
11,5,9,10 26,884
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 14.5
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,8/5,9>2,11 71,155
7TH DOUBLE
8/2,11 179
8/5 26.5