沙田 · 2023-05-21 · 15:03
第 5場
2023-05-21沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、W Y So訓練的PAKISTAN FRIEND勝出，贏出1/2。ROUND THE EARTH獲得亞軍；FOREVER FOLKS獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。4.7倍大熱門ROUND THE EARTH跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | PAKISTAN FRIEND 一路領先 TT 1.49.07 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 11 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | ROUND THE EARTH 後段發力 B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 3 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | FOREVER FOLKS 後段發力 B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 2 | 9.3 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | FOREVER GLORIOUS B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 7.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | GOLD TACK CP L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 9 | 6.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 14 | SUNNY BABY L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 1 | 7.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | TURQUOISE ALPHA 後段發力 CP/XB M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 10 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | TELECOM CHEETAH 後段發力 B/XB/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 8 | 43.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 9 | GO GO SIXTEEN 後段發力 B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 5 | 8.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | INCANTO PREPARED TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 6 | 55.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | SURREALISM B Y L Chung · R Gibson | Y L Chung | R Gibson | 14 | 27.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 1 | CIRCUIT NINE 後段發力 B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 13 | 20.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 3 | TATTENHAM H/P/XB1/TT1 M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 7 | 153.0 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ROUND THE EARTH | 18.9% | 5.30 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 15.3% | 6.55 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | GOLD TACK | 12.2% | 8.19 | 5 |
| 4 | 14 | SUNNY BABY | 8.1% | 12.38 | 6 |
| 5 | 4 | FOREVER FOLKS | 7.3% | 13.76 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 6.8% | 14.65 | 9 |
| 7 | 13 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 5.8% | 17.16 | 1 |
| 8 | 10 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 5.0% | 20.10 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | SURREALISM | 4.9% | 20.28 | 12 |
| 10 | 5 | INCANTO PREPARED | 4.3% | 23.30 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL | 4.0% | 25.28 | 10 |
| 12 | 1 | CIRCUIT NINE | 3.5% | 28.20 | 13 |
| 13 | 11 | TELECOM CHEETAH | 2.8% | 35.81 | 8 |
| 14 | 3 | TATTENHAM | 1.2% | 85.14 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 113
PLACE
2 21.5
4 32
13 32
QUINELLA
2,13 351
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 81
2,13 122.5
4,13 272.5
FORECAST
13,2 666
TIERCE
13,2,4 10,086
TRIO
2,4,13 1,493
FIRST 4
2,4,8,13 2,198
QUARTET
13,2,4,8 68,449
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
1/11/2 1,574
1/11/13 29,155
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 21
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
11/2 167
11/13 2,591.5