Sha Tin · 2023-05-21 · 15:03
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND Wire to wire TT 1.49.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 11 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | ROUND THE EARTH Closed strongly B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 3 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | FOREVER GLORIOUS B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 7.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLD TACK CP L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 9 | 6.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SUNNY BABY L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 1 | 7.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP/XB M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 10 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | TELECOM CHEETAH Closed strongly B/XB/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 8 | 43.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | GO GO SIXTEEN Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 5 | 8.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 6 | 55.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SURREALISM B Y L Chung · R Gibson | Y L Chung | R Gibson | 14 | 27.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | CIRCUIT NINE Closed strongly B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 13 | 20.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | TATTENHAM H/P/XB1/TT1 M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 7 | 153.0 | 12-3/4 |
| — | 0 | FOREVER FOLKS Closed strongly B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | — | 9.3 | 3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-21 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. PAKISTAN FRIEND, ridden by M F Poon and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with ROUND THE EARTH second and FOREVER GLORIOUS third. The winner led throughout. The 4.7 favourite ROUND THE EARTH finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROUND THE EARTH | 18.9% | 5.30 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 15.3% | 6.55 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | GOLD TACK | 12.2% | 8.19 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | SUNNY BABY | 8.1% | 12.38 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | FOREVER FOLKS | 7.3% | 13.76 | — |
| 6 | 0 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 6.8% | 14.65 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 5.8% | 17.16 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 5.0% | 20.10 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | SURREALISM | 4.9% | 20.28 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED | 4.3% | 23.30 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL | 4.0% | 25.28 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | CIRCUIT NINE | 3.5% | 28.20 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | TELECOM CHEETAH | 2.8% | 35.81 | 8 |
| 14 | 0 | TATTENHAM | 1.2% | 85.14 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 113
PLACE
2 21.5
4 32
13 32
QUINELLA
2,13 351
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 81
2,13 122.5
4,13 272.5
FORECAST
13,2 666
TIERCE
13,2,4 10,086
TRIO
2,4,13 1,493
FIRST 4
2,4,8,13 2,198
QUARTET
13,2,4,8 68,449
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
1/11/2 1,574
1/11/13 29,155
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 21
4TH DOUBLE
11/2 167
11/13 2,591.5