Sha Tin · 2023-05-21 · 17:13
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TUCHEL Closed strongly 1.34.22 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 7 | 2.5 | N |
| 2 | 0 | FLAMING RABBIT Led early SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | AMAZING VICTORY Closed strongly H K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 6 | 9.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SPIRITED EXPRESS Closed strongly B A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 11 | 21.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BOURBONAIRE H A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 3 | 32.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 4 | 85.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SUNNY STAR Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SWEET ENCOUNTER Closed strongly B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 10 | 5.1 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | BEAUTYVERSE Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 20.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S B M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 9 | 22.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 2 | 13.0 | 12 |
| — | 0 | DROMBEG BANNER E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | — | 10.0 | 7-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-21 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. TUCHEL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by N, with FLAMING RABBIT second and AMAZING VICTORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TUCHEL | 25.8% | 3.88 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | AMAZING VICTORY | 13.2% | 7.60 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | DROMBEG BANNER | 8.2% | 12.19 | — |
| 4 | 0 | SPIRITED EXPRESS | 8.1% | 12.34 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | FLAMING RABBIT | 7.5% | 13.35 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 7.3% | 13.73 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | SWEET ENCOUNTER | 6.7% | 15.03 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 6.2% | 16.02 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | SUNNY STAR | 5.7% | 17.41 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 4.9% | 20.59 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | BOURBONAIRE | 3.5% | 28.68 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | BEAUTYVERSE | 3.0% | 33.53 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 25.5
PLACE
1 13.5
10 34.5
11 27
QUINELLA
1,10 166.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 65.5
1,11 48.5
10,11 188
FORECAST
1,10 368
TIERCE
1,10,11 1,931
TRIO
1,10,11 495
FIRST 4
1,2,10,11 1,256
QUARTET
1,10,11,2 17,783
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 20
A2 —
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
2,11/1 64
2,11/10 80.5