Sha Tin · 2023-05-21 · 15:36
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-21 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. LUCKY GOLD, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with FLYING MOJITO second and KASI FARASI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite CASA LEGEND finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LUCKY GOLD Closed strongly B 1.21.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 10.0 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | FLYING MOJITO Closed strongly XB/B1 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 11 | 11.0 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | KASI FARASI Closed strongly B Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 13 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 14 | CASA LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 5 | 3.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | RED HARE KING Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 9 | 4.7 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | COMMANDING MISSILE H L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 2 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | BIG TWO Closed strongly H-/SR/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 8 | 45.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | WAR OF COURAGE B K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 12 | 30.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | SPARKY STAR Closed strongly B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 14.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | REGENT GLORY K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 9.1 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | CHARMANDER B/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 1 | 18.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | I GIVE Led early PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 14 | 68.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | LORIZ B B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 4 | 32.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 14 | 7 | COPARTNER PUDONG L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 10 | 147.0 | 17 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LUCKY GOLD | 13.6% | 7.36 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | RED HARE KING | 12.2% | 8.21 | 5 |
| 3 | 14 | CASA LEGEND | 11.4% | 8.74 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | CHARMANDER | 9.0% | 11.17 | 11 |
| 5 | 5 | KASI FARASI | 8.6% | 11.56 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | REGENT GLORY | 7.6% | 13.22 | 10 |
| 7 | 12 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 7.5% | 13.30 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | FLYING MOJITO | 7.2% | 13.84 | 2 |
| 9 | 13 | I GIVE | 5.0% | 20.06 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | SPARKY STAR | 4.3% | 23.04 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | BIG TWO | 4.1% | 24.45 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | LORIZ | 4.0% | 25.32 | 13 |
| 13 | 4 | WAR OF COURAGE | 3.9% | 25.33 | 8 |
| 14 | 7 | COPARTNER PUDONG | 1.6% | 64.05 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 108
PLACE
2 33.5
3 32
5 46.5
QUINELLA
2,3 652
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 191
2,5 195.5
3,5 244
FORECAST
2,3 1,184
TIERCE
2,3,5 11,669
TRIO
2,3,5 1,943
FIRST 4
2,3,5,14 1,466
QUARTET
2,3,5,14 44,247
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 23.5
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,13/2,3,5 506,593
5TH DOUBLE
13/2 1,727.5
13/3 362
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,10,11/2,4,13/Any Combination 165,460