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Sha Tin · 2023-05-21 · 15:36

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.74
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 LUCKY GOLD Closed strongly B 1.21.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 7 10.0 SH
2 0 FLYING MOJITO Closed strongly XB/B1 L Ferraris · D J Hall 11 11.0 SH
3 0 KASI FARASI Closed strongly B Z Purton · C H Yip 13 14.0 3/4
4 0 CASA LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum 5 3.2 1-1/4
5 0 RED HARE KING Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 9 4.7 2
6 0 COMMANDING MISSILE H L Hewitson · C W Chang 2 10.0 3-1/4
7 0 BIG TWO Closed strongly H-/SR/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte 8 45.0 4-1/2
8 0 WAR OF COURAGE B K H Chan · K L Man 12 30.0 6-1/2
9 0 SPARKY STAR Closed strongly B C L Chau · T P Yung 3 14.0 6-3/4
10 0 REGENT GLORY K Teetan · D A Hayes 6 9.1 8-1/2
11 0 CHARMANDER B/TT K C Leung · J Richards 1 18.0 9-3/4
12 0 I GIVE Led early PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng 14 68.0 10-3/4
13 0 LORIZ B B Avdulla · P F Yiu 4 32.0 13-1/4
14 0 COPARTNER PUDONG L Currie · J Size 10 147.0 17

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-21 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. LUCKY GOLD, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with FLYING MOJITO second and KASI FARASI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite CASA LEGEND finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LUCKY GOLD—2. FLYING MOJITO+0.1L3. KASI FARASI+0.75L4. CASA LEGEND+1.25L5. RED HARE KING+2L6. COMMANDING MISSILE+3.25L7. BIG TWO+4.5L8. WAR OF COURAGE+6.5L9. SPARKY STAR+6.75L10. REGENT GLORY+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick LUCKY GOLD (13.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 LUCKY GOLD 13.6% 7.36 1
2 0 RED HARE KING 12.2% 8.21 5
3 0 CASA LEGEND 11.4% 8.74 4
4 0 CHARMANDER 9.0% 11.17 11
5 0 KASI FARASI 8.6% 11.56 3
6 0 REGENT GLORY 7.6% 13.22 10
7 0 COMMANDING MISSILE 7.5% 13.30 6
8 0 FLYING MOJITO 7.2% 13.84 2
9 0 I GIVE 5.0% 20.06 12
10 0 SPARKY STAR 4.3% 23.04 9
11 0 BIG TWO 4.1% 24.45 7
12 0 LORIZ 4.0% 25.32 13
13 0 WAR OF COURAGE 3.9% 25.33 8
14 0 COPARTNER PUDONG 1.6% 64.05 14
LUCKY GOLD — wonRED HARE KINGCASA LEGENDCHARMANDERKASI FARASIREGENT GLORYCOMMANDING MISSILEFLYING MOJITOI GIVESPARKY STARBIG TWOLORIZWAR OF COURAGECOPARTNER PUDONG

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 108

PLACE

2 33.5

3 32

5 46.5

QUINELLA

2,3 652

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 191

2,5 195.5

3,5 244

FORECAST

2,3 1,184

TIERCE

2,3,5 11,669

TRIO

2,3,5 1,943

FIRST 4

2,3,5,14 1,466

QUARTET

2,3,5,14 44,247

All pools (4 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 23.5

A2 —

A1 —

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

2,4,13/2,3,5 506,593

5TH DOUBLE

13/2 1,727.5

13/3 362

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

4,10,11/2,4,13/Any Combination 165,460