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Sha Tin · 2023-05-21 · 17:55

Race 10

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course C+3 10 runners

Result

Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
2 0 TAJ DRAGON Closed strongly C Y Ho · P C Ng 1 3.5 N
3 0 HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly V-/TT K Teetan · L Ho 7 15.0 1-1/4
4 0 SUPER TEN B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte 3 45.0 3-1/2
5 0 HAMERON Closed strongly L Ferraris · K W Lui 13 19.0 3-3/4
6 0 WIDE BLUE YONDER B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes 11 9.6 4
7 0 MIDORI BEAUTY Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · W Y So 12 14.0 4-1/2
9 0 MIGHTY STRIDE B Avdulla · P F Yiu 5 3.3 5
10 0 PARTERRE Led early Y L Chung · A T Millard 6 33.0 6-1/4
11 0 SINBA CP/TT L Currie · J Richards 2 18.0 8-1/2
12 0 CHARITY BINGO C L Chau · C S Shum 9 31.0 12-1/2
— 0 BEAUTY MISSILE B K C Leung · F C Lor — 5.1 4-3/4
— 0 BEAUTY INSPIRE Z Purton · J Size — — —
— 0 FIND MY LOVE Closed strongly CP-/H1/TT M L Yeung · K L Man — 69.0 N

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-21 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. TAJ DRAGON, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P C Ng, won by N, with HAPPY DAILY second and SUPER TEN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite MIGHTY STRIDE finished 9th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
2. TAJ DRAGON+0.05L3. HAPPY DAILY+1.25L4. SUPER TEN+3.5L5. HAMERON+3.75L6. WIDE BLUE YONDER+4L7. MIDORI BEAUTY+4.5L9. MIGHTY STRIDE+5L10. PARTERRE+6.25L11. SINBA+8.5L12. CHARITY BINGO+12.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 TAJ DRAGON 18.1% 5.51 2
2 0 MIGHTY STRIDE 15.0% 6.65 9
3 0 BEAUTY MISSILE 11.6% 8.65 —
4 0 SINBA 10.2% 9.78 11
5 0 HAMERON 8.1% 12.28 5
6 0 MIDORI BEAUTY 7.9% 12.73 7
7 0 WIDE BLUE YONDER 7.2% 13.95 6
8 0 PARTERRE 6.6% 15.26 10
9 0 CHARITY BINGO 4.9% 20.54 12
10 0 HAPPY DAILY 4.5% 22.41 3
11 0 SUPER TEN 3.3% 30.45 4
12 0 FIND MY LOVE 2.7% 37.19 —
TAJ DRAGONMIGHTY STRIDEBEAUTY MISSILESINBAHAMERONMIDORI BEAUTYWIDE BLUE YONDERPARTERRECHARITY BINGOHAPPY DAILYSUPER TENFIND MY LOVE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 691.5

PLACE

6 130

10 14

11 39

QUINELLA

6,10 1,086.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,10 326

6,11 950.5

10,11 77

FORECAST

6,10 2,501

TIERCE

6,10,11 40,719

TRIO

6,10,11 3,630

FIRST 4

6,9,10,11 15,478

QUARTET

6,10,11,9 549,841

All pools (5 more)

2ND TREBLE

2,11/1/6 5,779

2,11/1/10 62

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 —

A3 26

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,10,11/6,10,11 1,030,772

9TH DOUBLE

1/6 2,015.5

1/10 28

SIX UP

2,13/2,3/2,8/2,5,11/1,10/6,10 14,513

1 [J Size] —

6 [M F Poon] —