Sha Tin · 2023-05-21 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SPEEDY FORTUNE 1.09.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 4 | 8.2 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | DREAM PURSUER C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 11 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | STAR CLUB A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 6 | 25.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | SUNLIGHT POWER K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 7 | 2.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HORSESAIN BOLT B/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 9 | 5.7 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | HO HO STAR A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 5 | 49.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CRAIG'S MASTER H/SR/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 8 | 65.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MAGIC TRAVELLER P1/TT1 M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 15.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 3 | 15.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | DIAMOND FOREVER C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 74.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | ART LITE TT L Ferraris · J Richards | L Ferraris | J Richards | 1 | 126.0 | 15-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SPEEDY SMARTIE TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | — | 5.6 | 30-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-21 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SPEEDY FORTUNE, ridden by M F Poon and trained by J Size, won by 3, with DREAM PURSUER second and STAR CLUB third. The 2.3 favourite SUNLIGHT POWER finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUNLIGHT POWER | 25.3% | 3.96 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 22.5% | 4.44 | — |
| 3 | 0 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 12.0% | 8.33 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 9.2% | 10.87 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | DREAM PURSUER | 7.4% | 13.46 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | STAR CLUB | 6.0% | 16.71 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | MAGIC TRAVELLER | 5.3% | 18.74 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | HO HO STAR | 3.5% | 28.19 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | DIAMOND FOREVER | 3.0% | 33.80 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 2.5% | 39.82 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | CRAIG'S MASTER | 2.3% | 42.65 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | ART LITE | 0.9% | 113.33 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 82.5
PLACE
2 27.5
8 50.5
12 26.5
QUINELLA
2,12 459.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 332.5
2,12 129
8,12 250.5
FORECAST
12,2 896
TIERCE
12,2,8 19,498
TRIO
2,8,12 4,039
FIRST 4
2,4,8,12 944
QUARTET
12,2,8,4 41,036
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 26
A3 —
A1 —