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Sha Tin · 2023-05-21 · 14:01

Race 3

Class 5 GOOD 1600m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.35.87
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 BULB PRINCE Closed strongly H/TT 1.35.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C H Yip 11 4.6 3/4
2 0 MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT M L Yeung · P C Ng 9 38.0 3/4
3 0 YOUNG SPARKLE Closed strongly B A Badel · A T Millard 10 16.0 2-1/4
4 0 GENERAL WINNER Closed strongly CP K Teetan · W Y So 5 7.0 2-1/2
5 0 MISTER ARM B Avdulla · Y S Tsui 1 8.9 3-1/2
6 0 BOYS PARTY SR H Bentley · D J Whyte 3 5.7 5-1/2
7 0 BEAUTY NOVA TT A Hamelin · J Size 4 7.9 5-3/4
8 0 FOXHUNTER WAY Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui 14 24.0 7
9 0 ALLOY STAR B M Chadwick · T P Yung 2 42.0 8-3/4
10 0 HANDSOME GUYS Led early B/XB/TT Y L Chung · C Fownes 7 13.0 9
11 0 SHINY TWO Closed strongly B/XB M F Poon · P F Yiu 6 57.0 9-3/4
12 0 INSPIRING CITY L Hewitson · D A Hayes 13 5.9 13-1/2
13 0 EASY LIFE TT H T Mo · K H Ting 8 138.0 45-3/4
14 0 SPICY SKEWER B K C Leung · K L Man 12 46.0 71-1/2
— 0 STAR OF GLORY E C W Wong · C W Chang — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-21 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. BULB PRINCE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C H Yip, won by 3/4, with MEDIC ELITE second and YOUNG SPARKLE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.6 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BULB PRINCE—2. MEDIC ELITE+0.75L3. YOUNG SPARKLE+2.25L4. GENERAL WINNER+2.5L5. MISTER ARM+3.5L6. BOYS PARTY+5.5L7. BEAUTY NOVA+5.75L8. FOXHUNTER WAY+7L9. ALLOY STAR+8.75L10. HANDSOME GUYS+9L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick BULB PRINCE (21.5%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BULB PRINCE 21.5% 4.66 1
2 0 GENERAL WINNER 10.9% 9.20 4
3 0 FOXHUNTER WAY 8.8% 11.41 8
4 0 INSPIRING CITY 8.2% 12.13 12
5 0 BOYS PARTY 8.2% 12.19 6
6 0 BEAUTY NOVA 7.1% 13.99 7
7 0 MISTER ARM 6.8% 14.77 5
8 0 YOUNG SPARKLE 6.1% 16.31 3
9 0 SHINY TWO 6.0% 16.80 11
10 0 HANDSOME GUYS 5.0% 19.82 10
11 0 SPICY SKEWER 4.1% 24.68 14
12 0 MEDIC ELITE 3.0% 32.85 2
13 0 ALLOY STAR 2.9% 33.98 9
14 0 EASY LIFE 1.4% 73.40 13
BULB PRINCE — wonGENERAL WINNERFOXHUNTER WAYINSPIRING CITYBOYS PARTYBEAUTY NOVAMISTER ARMYOUNG SPARKLESHINY TWOHANDSOME GUYSSPICY SKEWERMEDIC ELITEALLOY STAREASY LIFE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 46.5

PLACE

1 19.5

6 45

11 79.5

QUINELLA

1,11 872.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 149

1,11 287

6,11 679.5

FORECAST

1,11 1,587

TIERCE

1,11,6 18,915

TRIO

1,6,11 3,209

FIRST 4

1,3,6,11 6,928

QUARTET

1,11,6,3 163,731

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE

8/1 137.5

8/11 298

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 —

A1 29.5