Sha Tin · 2023-05-21 · 13:32
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-21 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. DREAM WINNER, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by F C Lor, won by 5-1/4, with AMAZING ROCKY second and TEAM SPIRIT third. The 3.5 favourite HONG KONG HALL finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | DREAM WINNER 0.55.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 1 | 3.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | AMAZING ROCKY C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT Y L Chung · D A Hayes | Y L Chung | D A Hayes | 14 | 11.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 4 | 14 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 13 | 15.0 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | HONG KONG HALL TT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 3.5 | 7-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | AFFIRM K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 5.5 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | THE FINAL WORD SR1/XB1 M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 5 | 92.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 6 | 28.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | KING ECCELLENTE CP/H/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 3 | 22.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | SPARKLING KNIGHT E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 12 | 7.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 13 | GO GO GO H/TT L Currie · W Y So | L Currie | W Y So | 2 | 192.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | LEAN MASTER TT L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 10 | 74.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR H/CP1/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 11 | 165.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 11 | SAME TO YOU H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 9 | 88.0 | 13 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HONG KONG HALL | 28.5% | 3.51 | 5 |
| 2 | 4 | SPARKLING KNIGHT | 11.9% | 8.42 | 10 |
| 3 | 6 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 11.2% | 8.94 | 8 |
| 4 | 8 | DREAM WINNER | 9.2% | 10.86 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | KING ECCELLENTE | 8.9% | 11.18 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | AMAZING ROCKY | 5.5% | 18.06 | 2 |
| 7 | 14 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 4.9% | 20.50 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | AFFIRM | 4.8% | 20.84 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | TEAM SPIRIT | 4.6% | 21.70 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | THE FINAL WORD | 4.2% | 23.73 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | SAME TO YOU | 3.0% | 33.16 | 14 |
| 12 | 10 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR | 1.3% | 74.73 | 13 |
| 13 | 1 | LEAN MASTER | 1.0% | 98.38 | 12 |
| 14 | 13 | GO GO GO | 0.9% | 114.64 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 36
PLACE
2 36.5
5 38.5
8 16.5
QUINELLA
2,8 326.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 188
2,8 115
5,8 81.5
FORECAST
8,2 541
TIERCE
8,2,5 5,778
TRIO
2,5,8 1,294
FIRST 4
2,5,8,14 2,561
QUARTET
8,2,5,14 44,263
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE
12/2 260
12/8 595.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,12/2,5,8 551,045
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 19
A3 —