沙田 · 2023-05-21 · 13:32
第 2場
2023-05-21沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、F C Lor訓練的DREAM WINNER勝出，贏出5-1/4。AMAZING ROCKY獲得亞軍；TEAM SPIRIT獲得季軍。3.5倍大熱門HONG KONG HALL跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | DREAM WINNER 0.55.14 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 1 | 3.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | AMAZING ROCKY C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT Y L Chung · D A Hayes | Y L Chung | D A Hayes | 14 | 11.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 4 | 14 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 13 | 15.0 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | HONG KONG HALL TT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 3.5 | 7-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | AFFIRM K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 5.5 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | THE FINAL WORD SR1/XB1 M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 5 | 92.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 6 | 28.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | KING ECCELLENTE CP/H/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 3 | 22.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | SPARKLING KNIGHT E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 12 | 7.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 13 | GO GO GO H/TT L Currie · W Y So | L Currie | W Y So | 2 | 192.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | LEAN MASTER TT L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 10 | 74.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR H/CP1/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 11 | 165.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 11 | SAME TO YOU H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 9 | 88.0 | 13 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HONG KONG HALL | 28.5% | 3.51 | 5 |
| 2 | 4 | SPARKLING KNIGHT | 11.9% | 8.42 | 10 |
| 3 | 6 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 11.2% | 8.94 | 8 |
| 4 | 8 | DREAM WINNER | 9.2% | 10.86 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | KING ECCELLENTE | 8.9% | 11.18 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | AMAZING ROCKY | 5.5% | 18.06 | 2 |
| 7 | 14 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 4.9% | 20.50 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | AFFIRM | 4.8% | 20.84 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | TEAM SPIRIT | 4.6% | 21.70 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | THE FINAL WORD | 4.2% | 23.73 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | SAME TO YOU | 3.0% | 33.16 | 14 |
| 12 | 10 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR | 1.3% | 74.73 | 13 |
| 13 | 1 | LEAN MASTER | 1.0% | 98.38 | 12 |
| 14 | 13 | GO GO GO | 0.9% | 114.64 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 36
PLACE
2 36.5
5 38.5
8 16.5
QUINELLA
2,8 326.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 188
2,8 115
5,8 81.5
FORECAST
8,2 541
TIERCE
8,2,5 5,778
TRIO
2,5,8 1,294
FIRST 4
2,5,8,14 2,561
QUARTET
8,2,5,14 44,263
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE
12/2 260
12/8 595.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,12/2,5,8 551,045
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 19
A3 —