沙田 · 2023-05-21 · 14:01
第 3場
2023-05-21沙田第3場，Class 5，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C H Yip訓練的BULB PRINCE勝出，贏出3/4。MEDIC ELITE獲得亞軍；YOUNG SPARKLE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以4.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BULB PRINCE 後段發力 H/TT 1.35.87 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 11 | 4.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | MEDIC ELITE 後段發力 PC/TT M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 9 | 38.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | YOUNG SPARKLE 後段發力 B A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 10 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | GENERAL WINNER 後段發力 CP K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 5 | 7.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | MISTER ARM B Avdulla · Y S Tsui | B Avdulla | Y S Tsui | 1 | 8.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | BOYS PARTY SR H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 3 | 5.7 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | BEAUTY NOVA TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 4 | 7.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | FOXHUNTER WAY 後段發力 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 24.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 14 | ALLOY STAR B M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 2 | 42.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | HANDSOME GUYS 早段領放 B/XB/TT Y L Chung · C Fownes | Y L Chung | C Fownes | 7 | 13.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | SHINY TWO 後段發力 B/XB M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 6 | 57.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | INSPIRING CITY L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 13 | 5.9 | 13-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | EASY LIFE TT H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 8 | 138.0 | 45-3/4 |
| 14 | 5 | SPICY SKEWER B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 12 | 46.0 | 71-1/2 |
| — | 0 | STAR OF GLORY E C W Wong · C W Chang | E C W Wong | C W Chang | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BULB PRINCE | 21.5% | 4.66 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | GENERAL WINNER | 10.9% | 9.20 | 4 |
| 3 | 10 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 8.8% | 11.41 | 8 |
| 4 | 4 | INSPIRING CITY | 8.2% | 12.13 | 12 |
| 5 | 7 | BOYS PARTY | 8.2% | 12.19 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | BEAUTY NOVA | 7.1% | 13.99 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | MISTER ARM | 6.8% | 14.77 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | YOUNG SPARKLE | 6.1% | 16.31 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | SHINY TWO | 6.0% | 16.80 | 11 |
| 10 | 13 | HANDSOME GUYS | 5.0% | 19.82 | 10 |
| 11 | 5 | SPICY SKEWER | 4.1% | 24.68 | 14 |
| 12 | 11 | MEDIC ELITE | 3.0% | 32.85 | 2 |
| 13 | 14 | ALLOY STAR | 2.9% | 33.98 | 9 |
| 14 | 2 | EASY LIFE | 1.4% | 73.40 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 46.5
PLACE
1 19.5
6 45
11 79.5
QUINELLA
1,11 872.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 149
1,11 287
6,11 679.5
FORECAST
1,11 1,587
TIERCE
1,11,6 18,915
TRIO
1,6,11 3,209
FIRST 4
1,3,6,11 6,928
QUARTET
1,11,6,3 163,731
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
8/1 137.5
8/11 298
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 29.5
A3 —