沙田 · 2023-05-21 · 16:06
第 7場
2023-05-21沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、C S Shum訓練的KA YING SPIRIT勝出，贏出1/2。RUN RUN COOL獲得亞軍；PLEASANT ENDEAVOR獲得季軍。3.9倍大熱門PLEASANT ENDEAVOR跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | KA YING SPIRIT B/TT 0.55.51 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 11 | 6.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | RUN RUN COOL PC H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 7 | 36.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 5 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | METRO WARRIOR B K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 8 | 6.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | BEAUTY TYCOON H-/PC- Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 9.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | FLYING DRAGON V/XB C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 9 | 33.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE CP/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 4 | 7.3 | 2 |
| 8 | 1 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 5.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | FLYING HIGH TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 7.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | CHATEAU A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 2 | 60.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | JUMBO LEGEND H/PC/TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 1 | 64.0 | 6-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | FLYING HIGH | 18.9% | 5.28 | 9 |
| 2 | 4 | BEAUTY TYCOON | 17.4% | 5.75 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 15.2% | 6.58 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 13.0% | 7.71 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | METRO WARRIOR | 8.4% | 11.84 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | JUMBO LEGEND | 6.5% | 15.44 | 11 |
| 7 | 8 | KA YING SPIRIT | 6.0% | 16.54 | 1 |
| 8 | 10 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 5.6% | 17.92 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | RUN RUN COOL | 4.6% | 21.95 | 2 |
| 10 | 11 | FLYING DRAGON | 2.6% | 39.05 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | CHATEAU | 1.8% | 54.87 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 63.5
PLACE
2 64.5
3 14.5
8 22.5
QUINELLA
2,8 749.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 162
2,8 216.5
3,8 63
FORECAST
8,2 1,163
TIERCE
8,2,3 8,288
TRIO
2,3,8 1,299
FIRST 4
2,3,7,8 1,660
QUARTET
8,2,3,7 49,811
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 29
A2 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
2/2 505.5
2/8 604.5