Sha Tin · 2023-05-21 · 14:31
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JOYFUL GENIUS Closed strongly B 1.35.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 5 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | MASTER OF FORTUNE Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 3 | 3.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | LUCKY ETERNITY Closed strongly CP1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 14 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | DARCI JOY Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 12 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | LOOKING COOL Closed strongly CP K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 4 | 6.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | DRAGON DELIGHT Closed strongly B L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 9 | 8.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | RIGHT AS RAIN Closed strongly B B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 6 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | YOUNG VICTORY B1/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | BORN THE SAME DAY Closed strongly H/XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 11 | 116.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | JOYFUL CHAMPION B/TT Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 13 | 118.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPERB MOVE B/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 8 | 5.8 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | FAST BUCK P L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 7 | 38.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | CALL ME MIGHTY B1/H1 H W Lai · C W Chang | H W Lai | C W Chang | 1 | 86.0 | 30 |
| 14 | 0 | GOLDEN WARSTEED Led early TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 10 | 96.0 | 57-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2023-05-21 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. JOYFUL GENIUS, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D J Hall, won by 3/4, with MASTER OF FORTUNE second and LUCKY ETERNITY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite MASTER OF FORTUNE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MASTER OF FORTUNE | 23.4% | 4.28 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | LOOKING COOL | 12.8% | 7.80 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | SUPERB MOVE | 9.3% | 10.76 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | YOUNG VICTORY | 9.1% | 10.97 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 7.4% | 13.55 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | RIGHT AS RAIN | 6.9% | 14.48 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | JOYFUL GENIUS | 6.8% | 14.60 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | DARCI JOY | 6.7% | 14.86 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | FAST BUCK | 4.8% | 20.71 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | LUCKY ETERNITY | 4.1% | 24.56 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 3.0% | 33.15 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | CALL ME MIGHTY | 2.2% | 45.58 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | BORN THE SAME DAY | 1.8% | 56.03 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | GOLDEN WARSTEED | 1.6% | 61.01 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 102.5
PLACE
4 14
10 37.5
11 27.5
QUINELLA
4,11 173
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 95.5
4,11 57.5
10,11 270
FORECAST
11,4 617
TIERCE
11,4,10 7,809
TRIO
4,10,11 849
FIRST 4
1,4,10,11 2,046
QUARTET
11,4,10,1 65,174
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,11/4,10,11 957,017
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 25.5
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
1/4 22.5
1/11 1,175.5