跑馬地 · 2023-05-31 · 19:16
第 2場
2023-05-31跑馬地第2場，Class 4，途程2200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、D J Hall訓練的GALLANT HERO勝出，贏出SH。SUPER HONG KONG獲得亞軍；BORN THE SAME DAY獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。2.8倍大熱門REACH GOAL跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GALLANT HERO 一路領先 2.15.28 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 4.0 | SH |
| 2 | 6 | SUPER HONG KONG 後段發力 B/TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 9 | 10.0 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | BORN THE SAME DAY 後段發力 H/XB B Avdulla · C W Chang | B Avdulla | C W Chang | 1 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | HAPPY ANGEL B L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 2 | 7.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | HELENE ALLIBOR 後段發力 V/TT M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 11 | 38.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | WONDER YEARS 後段發力 B/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 6 | 9.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | REACH GOAL TT H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 8 | 2.8 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | AI ONE H/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 5 | 11.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | REGENCY MASTER 後段發力 B/TT M Dee · C S Shum | M Dee | C S Shum | 12 | 26.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | BULB DRAGON B-/CP1/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 7 | 81.0 | 18-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | LEGION OF MERIT B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 31.0 | 19 |
| 12 | 9 | DEAR SIBLING B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 10 | 67.0 | 19 |
| — | 0 | LUCKY DIAMOND · K H Ting | — | K H Ting | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | REACH GOAL | 23.0% | 4.34 | 7 |
| 2 | 3 | GALLANT HERO | 22.3% | 4.48 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | HAPPY ANGEL | 15.4% | 6.51 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | AI ONE | 9.6% | 10.42 | 8 |
| 5 | 2 | WONDER YEARS | 6.2% | 16.03 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | SUPER HONG KONG | 6.2% | 16.07 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | HELENE ALLIBOR | 4.3% | 23.02 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | REGENCY MASTER | 4.3% | 23.29 | 9 |
| 9 | 1 | LEGION OF MERIT | 3.5% | 28.56 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | BORN THE SAME DAY | 2.4% | 41.28 | 3 |
| 11 | 9 | DEAR SIBLING | 1.6% | 61.24 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | BULB DRAGON | 1.1% | 95.06 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 40
PLACE
3 16
6 33.5
11 41
QUINELLA
3,6 342
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 116.5
3,11 116
6,11 370
FORECAST
3,6 631
TIERCE
3,6,11 9,876
TRIO
3,6,11 1,523
FIRST 4
3,6,7,11 2,338
QUARTET
3,6,11,7 50,151
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
4/3 405.5
4/6 49
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 16.5