跑馬地 · 2023-05-31 · 22:53
第 9場
2023-05-31跑馬地第9場，Class 2，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M F Poon策騎、K W Lui訓練的MEANINGFUL STAR勝出，贏出1-1/2。BUTTERFIELD獲得亞軍；NIMBLE NIMBUS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.6倍大熱門SWORD POINT跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MEANINGFUL STAR 後段發力 B 1.48.12 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 4 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | BUTTERFIELD 後段發力 CP/TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 9 | 39.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | NIMBLE NIMBUS 早段領放 V/TT A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 3 | 4.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | NEARLY FINE 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 11 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | SWORD POINT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 3.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | ALACRITY TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 12 | 5.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | LA CITY BLANCHE 後段發力 H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 5 | 6.1 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | SAVVY NINE B/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | SAVAQUIN P- H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 6 | 20.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | TURIN REDSUN SR/TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 10 | 74.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | HANDSOME TWELVE H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 7 | 39.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | PACKING AWARD M Dee · L Ho | M Dee | L Ho | 2 | 19.0 | 8-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ALACRITY | 18.8% | 5.31 | 6 |
| 2 | 4 | SWORD POINT | 13.5% | 7.38 | 5 |
| 3 | 10 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 13.4% | 7.46 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 11.8% | 8.48 | 7 |
| 5 | 12 | MEANINGFUL STAR | 8.9% | 11.21 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | SAVAQUIN | 7.9% | 12.66 | 9 |
| 7 | 7 | HANDSOME TWELVE | 7.5% | 13.27 | 11 |
| 8 | 6 | PACKING AWARD | 4.8% | 21.05 | 12 |
| 9 | 2 | SAVVY NINE | 4.1% | 24.20 | 8 |
| 10 | 8 | NEARLY FINE | 4.0% | 25.09 | 4 |
| 11 | 3 | BUTTERFIELD | 3.6% | 27.86 | 2 |
| 12 | 5 | TURIN REDSUN | 1.6% | 61.15 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 123.5
PLACE
3 88
10 16
12 37.5
QUINELLA
3,12 2,638.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 290
3,12 616
10,12 81.5
FORECAST
12,3 4,599
TIERCE
12,3,10 24,781
TRIO
3,10,12 3,022
FIRST 4
3,8,10,12 4,530
QUARTET
12,3,10,8 131,113
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND TREBLE
1/6/3 1,972
1/6/12 4,683
3 PICK 1
A3 33
A2 —
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,7/3,10,12 146,062
8TH DOUBLE
6/3 154
6/12 377
SIX UP
11/2/4/1/6/12 179,170
11,12/2,9/4,5/1,10/4,6/3,12 4,983
2 [K Teetan] —
1 [P F Yiu] —