跑馬地 · 2023-05-31 · 21:46
第 7場
2023-05-31跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M Chadwick策騎、K L Man訓練的POWER KOEPP勝出，贏出3/4。VICTORY SCHOLARS獲得亞軍；LUCKY EIGHT獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門PARTY WARRIOR跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | POWER KOEPP E 1.09.36 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 1 | 9.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | VICTORY SCHOLARS V C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 4.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | LUCKY EIGHT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 6 | 4.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | OUR LUCKY GLORY SR2/TT H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 3 | 21.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | SMOKEY BEAR B/XB/TT B Avdulla · K H Ting | B Avdulla | K H Ting | 2 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | HEROIC MASTER H-/P-/TT H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 7 | 7.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | PARTY WARRIOR H Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 4 | 3.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | ENDEARED XB1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 52.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | FAMILY FOLKS B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 8 | 34.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | CHATEAU M Dee · J Size | M Dee | J Size | 11 | 114.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | NAMJONG SINGS B M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 9 | 38.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING CP1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 81.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LUCKY EIGHT | 21.2% | 4.73 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | PARTY WARRIOR | 19.3% | 5.17 | 7 |
| 3 | 10 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 14.5% | 6.89 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | HEROIC MASTER | 12.1% | 8.25 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | SMOKEY BEAR | 8.7% | 11.46 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | POWER KOEPP | 7.8% | 12.79 | 1 |
| 7 | 8 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 5.8% | 17.14 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 2.9% | 34.89 | 12 |
| 9 | 12 | NAMJONG SINGS | 2.3% | 43.11 | 11 |
| 10 | 2 | FAMILY FOLKS | 2.0% | 49.84 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | CHATEAU | 2.0% | 50.64 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | ENDEARED | 1.3% | 74.92 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 92.5
PLACE
1 31
3 17.5
10 16.5
QUINELLA
1,10 206
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 87
1,10 68
3,10 42.5
FORECAST
1,10 769
TIERCE
1,10,3 3,221
TRIO
1,3,10 313
FIRST 4
1,3,8,10 1,128
QUARTET
1,10,3,8 31,651
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 21
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,5/1,3,10 24,961
6TH DOUBLE
4/1 286
4/10 22
TRIPLE TRIO
2,9,10/3,4,5/1,3,10 1,947,658
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,9,10/3,4,5/Any Combination 4,620