跑馬地 · 2023-05-31 · 20:16
第 4場
2023-05-31跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、C S Shum訓練的GOODLUCK GOODLUCK勝出，贏出1-1/4。CHARMING STEED獲得亞軍；SUMMIT CHEERS獲得季軍。3.6倍大熱門CHARMING STEED跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK B/TT1 1.09.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 8 | 5.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | CHARMING STEED TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 2 | 3.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | SUMMIT CHEERS TT H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 3 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | JUNEAU FLASH PC- M Dee · J Size | M Dee | J Size | 4 | 4.5 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | LIKE THAT V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | SERGEANT PEPPER M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | FLAMING EAGLE V/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 6 | 6.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | SHINKANSEN H L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 17.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | HERCULES B/TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 7 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | SURE JOYFUL V B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 12 | 23.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | BAYVIEW STAR H H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 10 | 126.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | MASTER OF ALL M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 11 | 83.0 | 41 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | CHARMING STEED | 24.3% | 4.12 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | HERCULES | 14.7% | 6.82 | 9 |
| 3 | 2 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 12.6% | 7.94 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | FLAMING EAGLE | 11.3% | 8.88 | 7 |
| 5 | 1 | JUNEAU FLASH | 10.2% | 9.80 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | LIKE THAT | 6.3% | 15.87 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | SURE JOYFUL | 5.9% | 16.94 | 10 |
| 8 | 11 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 5.3% | 18.82 | 1 |
| 9 | 4 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 4.3% | 23.19 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | SHINKANSEN | 3.0% | 33.87 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | MASTER OF ALL | 1.4% | 72.32 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | BAYVIEW STAR | 0.8% | 118.02 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 51.5
PLACE
2 45.5
11 22.5
12 14
QUINELLA
11,12 113.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,11 176
2,12 96.5
11,12 46.5
FORECAST
11,12 306
TIERCE
11,12,2 2,840
TRIO
2,11,12 478
FIRST 4
1,2,11,12 468
QUARTET
11,12,2,1 11,970
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 21
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
2/11 220.5
2/12 25.5