跑馬地 · 2023-05-31 · 20:46
第 5場
2023-05-31跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Y L Chung策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的SUPER AXIOM勝出，贏出3/4。ACE TALENT獲得亞軍；GOOD VIEW GLORY獲得季軍。頭馬以3.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/TT 0.56.51 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 3 | 3.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | ACE TALENT H/PC/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 5.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | GOOD VIEW GLORY A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 2 | 32.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | PLENTIFUL CP/H/XB M Dee · P C Ng | M Dee | P C Ng | 4 | 25.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | MR VALIANT H-/XB- M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 10 | 26.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | NICETOBEMET CP/XB1 A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 1 | 3.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 7 | 22.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | HEARTY WISH B/SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 46.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | SAVVY DELIGHT P/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 5.9 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | MR FUN H1/XB1/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 9 | 26.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | DIVINE ERA TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 5 | 43.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | DIAMOND SOARS H/P/TT K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 11 | 26.0 | 11-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ACE TALENT | 20.5% | 4.88 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | NICETOBEMET | 15.1% | 6.64 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 14.6% | 6.84 | 9 |
| 4 | 2 | SUPER AXIOM | 8.9% | 11.17 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | HEARTY WISH | 6.9% | 14.59 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | GOOD VIEW GLORY | 6.3% | 15.76 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | DIVINE ERA | 6.2% | 16.14 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | DIAMOND SOARS | 5.8% | 17.33 | 12 |
| 9 | 7 | MR FUN | 5.0% | 20.01 | 10 |
| 10 | 4 | MR VALIANT | 4.5% | 22.44 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 4.4% | 22.89 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | PLENTIFUL | 1.9% | 53.16 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 32
PLACE
2 14
9 21
10 58.5
QUINELLA
2,9 87
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 38
2,10 139
9,10 204
FORECAST
2,9 169
TIERCE
2,9,10 2,293
TRIO
2,9,10 590
FIRST 4
2,9,10,12 3,958
QUARTET
2,9,10,12 40,370
全部彩池（另 4 項）
1ST TREBLE
2/11/2 970
2/11/9 433
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,11,12/2,9,10 53,584
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 17
4TH DOUBLE
11/2 192.5
11/9 85