Happy Valley · 2023-05-31 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-05-31 was Class 4 over 2200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GALLANT HERO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by SH, with SUPER HONG KONG second and BORN THE SAME DAY third. The winner led throughout. The 2.8 favourite REACH GOAL finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GALLANT HERO Wire to wire 2.15.28 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 4.0 | SH |
| 2 | 6 | SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 9 | 10.0 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | BORN THE SAME DAY Closed strongly H/XB B Avdulla · C W Chang | B Avdulla | C W Chang | 1 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | HAPPY ANGEL B L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 2 | 7.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | HELENE ALLIBOR Closed strongly V/TT M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 11 | 38.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | WONDER YEARS Closed strongly B/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 6 | 9.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | REACH GOAL TT H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 8 | 2.8 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | AI ONE H/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 5 | 11.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | REGENCY MASTER Closed strongly B/TT M Dee · C S Shum | M Dee | C S Shum | 12 | 26.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | BULB DRAGON B-/CP1/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 7 | 81.0 | 18-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | LEGION OF MERIT B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 31.0 | 19 |
| 12 | 9 | DEAR SIBLING B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 10 | 67.0 | 19 |
| — | 0 | LUCKY DIAMOND · K H Ting | — | K H Ting | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | REACH GOAL | 23.0% | 4.34 | 7 |
| 2 | 3 | GALLANT HERO | 22.3% | 4.48 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | HAPPY ANGEL | 15.4% | 6.51 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | AI ONE | 9.6% | 10.42 | 8 |
| 5 | 2 | WONDER YEARS | 6.2% | 16.03 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | SUPER HONG KONG | 6.2% | 16.07 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | HELENE ALLIBOR | 4.3% | 23.02 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | REGENCY MASTER | 4.3% | 23.29 | 9 |
| 9 | 1 | LEGION OF MERIT | 3.5% | 28.56 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | BORN THE SAME DAY | 2.4% | 41.28 | 3 |
| 11 | 9 | DEAR SIBLING | 1.6% | 61.24 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | BULB DRAGON | 1.1% | 95.06 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 40
PLACE
3 16
6 33.5
11 41
QUINELLA
3,6 342
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 116.5
3,11 116
6,11 370
FORECAST
3,6 631
TIERCE
3,6,11 9,876
TRIO
3,6,11 1,523
FIRST 4
3,6,7,11 2,338
QUARTET
3,6,11,7 50,151
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
4/3 405.5
4/6 49
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 16.5