Happy Valley · 2023-05-31 · 19:46
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-05-31 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SPLENDID LIVING, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-3/4, with GET THE MONIES second and FORTUNE PRESIDENT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SPLENDID LIVING Closed strongly CP/TT 1.39.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 8 | 2.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | GET THE MONIES Closed strongly XB B Avdulla · K W Lui | B Avdulla | K W Lui | 4 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT Closed strongly M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 3 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | ASIAN ONE Closed strongly PC-/XB/V2/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 7 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | NOBLE STEED M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 1 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | PERFECT PEACH Closed strongly B/H/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 12 | 28.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | TURIN WARRIOR B/XB A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 6 | 8.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | ARIEL Led early CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 5 | 9.8 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | FIERY FLYING Closed strongly H2/TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 11.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | MILLENNIUM FALCON TT L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 2 | 16.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | PERFECT TO GREAT V/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 11.0 | 9 |
| — | 9 | DAZZLING FELLOW B/XB M Dee · D J Hall | M Dee | D J Hall | 9 | 28.0 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SPLENDID LIVING | 17.2% | 5.82 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | ARIEL | 15.8% | 6.32 | 8 |
| 3 | 5 | ASIAN ONE | 12.0% | 8.34 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | PERFECT PEACH | 11.3% | 8.86 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | TURIN WARRIOR | 9.1% | 10.96 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 7.5% | 13.36 | 11 |
| 7 | 12 | FIERY FLYING | 7.4% | 13.43 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 6.5% | 15.33 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | NOBLE STEED | 4.6% | 21.64 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 4.4% | 22.69 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | GET THE MONIES | 4.1% | 24.31 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 27
PLACE
2 14
6 38.5
11 35.5
QUINELLA
2,11 213.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 70.5
2,11 86
6,11 296.5
FORECAST
2,11 368
TIERCE
2,11,6 4,366
TRIO
2,6,11 821
FIRST 4
2,5,6,11 1,618
QUARTET
2,11,6,5 31,229
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,11/2,6,11 673,084
2ND DOUBLE
3/2 128
3/11 292.5
3 PICK 1
A1 21
A2 —
A3 —