Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2023-05-31 · 19:46

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1650m Course C+3 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.51
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SPLENDID LIVING Closed strongly CP/TT 1.39.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P F Yiu 8 2.7 1-3/4
2 0 GET THE MONIES Closed strongly XB B Avdulla · K W Lui 4 12.0 1-3/4
3 0 FORTUNE PRESIDENT Closed strongly M L Yeung · Y S Tsui 3 13.0 1-3/4
4 0 ASIAN ONE Closed strongly PC-/XB/V2/TT M Chadwick · J Richards 7 10.0 2
5 0 NOBLE STEED M F Poon · K W Lui 1 14.0 3
7 0 TURIN WARRIOR B/XB A Hamelin · R Gibson 6 8.4 4-1/4
8 0 ARIEL Led early CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes 5 9.8 5
9 0 FIERY FLYING Closed strongly H2/TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz 11 11.0 6-3/4
10 0 MILLENNIUM FALCON TT L Ferraris · T P Yung 2 16.0 8-1/4
11 0 PERFECT TO GREAT V/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 10 11.0 9
— 0 DAZZLING FELLOW B/XB M Dee · D J Hall 9 28.0 —
— 0 PERFECT PEACH Closed strongly B/H/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz — 28.0 3-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-05-31 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SPLENDID LIVING, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-3/4, with GET THE MONIES second and FORTUNE PRESIDENT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SPLENDID LIVING—2. GET THE MONIES+1.75L3. FORTUNE PRESIDENT+1.75L4. ASIAN ONE+2L5. NOBLE STEED+3L7. TURIN WARRIOR+4.25L8. ARIEL+5L9. FIERY FLYING+6.75L10. MILLENNIUM FALCON+8.25L11. PERFECT TO GREAT+9L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick SPLENDID LIVING (17.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SPLENDID LIVING 17.2% 5.82 1
2 0 ARIEL 15.8% 6.32 8
3 0 ASIAN ONE 12.0% 8.34 4
4 0 PERFECT PEACH 11.3% 8.86 —
5 0 TURIN WARRIOR 9.1% 10.96 7
6 0 PERFECT TO GREAT 7.5% 13.36 11
7 0 FIERY FLYING 7.4% 13.43 9
8 0 FORTUNE PRESIDENT 6.5% 15.33 3
9 0 NOBLE STEED 4.6% 21.64 5
10 0 MILLENNIUM FALCON 4.4% 22.69 10
11 0 GET THE MONIES 4.1% 24.31 2
SPLENDID LIVING — wonARIELASIAN ONEPERFECT PEACHTURIN WARRIORPERFECT TO GREATFIERY FLYINGFORTUNE PRESIDENTNOBLE STEEDMILLENNIUM FALCONGET THE MONIES

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 27

PLACE

2 14

6 38.5

11 35.5

QUINELLA

2,11 213.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,6 70.5

2,11 86

6,11 296.5

FORECAST

2,11 368

TIERCE

2,11,6 4,366

TRIO

2,6,11 821

FIRST 4

2,5,6,11 1,618

QUARTET

2,11,6,5 31,229

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

3,6,11/2,6,11 673,084

2ND DOUBLE

3/2 128

3/11 292.5

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 21

A3 —