Happy Valley · 2023-05-31 · 21:17
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-05-31 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SOLAR PARTNER, ridden by H Bowman and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with HIGH PERCENTAGE second and TRAVEL GOLF third. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SOLAR PARTNER CP-/TT 1.09.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 10 | 2.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | HIGH PERCENTAGE TT1 L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 4 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | TRAVEL GOLF TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 3 | 6.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | ORIENTAL SPIRIT B L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 2 | 52.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | CIRCUIT BOOMING TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | SOARING TOWER B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 1 | 3.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 12 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | WIND SPEEDER C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 8 | 23.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | SPICY SO SMART CP/XB K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 5 | 14.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | DIAMOND WINNER B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 134.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | FLYING ON THE TURF B/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 11 | 22.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | ABOVE ALL H/XB M Dee · A T Millard | M Dee | A T Millard | 7 | 20.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SOLAR PARTNER | 19.1% | 5.24 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | SOARING TOWER | 13.9% | 7.17 | 6 |
| 3 | 2 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 13.1% | 7.63 | 11 |
| 4 | 1 | CIRCUIT BOOMING | 10.0% | 9.99 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | TRAVEL GOLF | 9.6% | 10.38 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER | 8.4% | 11.88 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | HIGH PERCENTAGE | 8.3% | 12.04 | 2 |
| 8 | 9 | SPICY SO SMART | 6.1% | 16.38 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | ABOVE ALL | 4.5% | 22.23 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | WIND SPEEDER | 3.6% | 28.02 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | ORIENTAL SPIRIT | 2.1% | 47.58 | 4 |
| 12 | 7 | DIAMOND WINNER | 1.2% | 81.46 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 26
PLACE
3 19
4 14
5 38.5
QUINELLA
4,5 218.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 35.5
3,5 136
4,5 79
FORECAST
4,5 281
TIERCE
4,5,3 1,487
TRIO
3,4,5 383
FIRST 4
3,4,5,11 2,678
QUARTET
4,5,3,11 32,892
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 18.5
A3 —
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
2/4 91.5
2/5 181