Happy Valley · 2023-05-31 · 18:46
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-05-31 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CHARIZARD, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A T Millard, won by 1-1/4, with HAPPY JAI JAI second and MEDIC ELITE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite ANGELS HUNTER finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CHARIZARD Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 1 | 6.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | HAPPY JAI JAI Closed strongly TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 10 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT M Dee · P C Ng | M Dee | P C Ng | 7 | 4.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | VIVA A LA H/P/TT A Badel · L Ho | A Badel | L Ho | 3 | 6.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | ALL IS READY Closed strongly B-/V1 B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 2 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | ANGELS HUNTER V Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 8 | 4.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | OUR CREED Led early V L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 5 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | VALHALLA V/XB/TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 4 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | ERNEST FEELING Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · R Gibson | H Bentley | R Gibson | 11 | 30.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 8 | FLYING GALLOP XB/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 6 | 75.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | HANG'S CHOICE B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 9 | 8.1 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | FLASH FAMOUS B/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 12 | 40.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ANGELS HUNTER | 27.4% | 3.65 | 6 |
| 2 | 11 | HANG'S CHOICE | 13.6% | 7.36 | 11 |
| 3 | 4 | CHARIZARD | 11.8% | 8.45 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | OUR CREED | 10.1% | 9.90 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | VALHALLA | 9.2% | 10.84 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | MEDIC ELITE | 8.0% | 12.54 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 5.6% | 17.94 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | VIVA A LA | 5.0% | 20.04 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | ERNEST FEELING | 4.3% | 23.14 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | ALL IS READY | 2.2% | 46.03 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | FLASH FAMOUS | 1.6% | 60.81 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | FLYING GALLOP | 1.2% | 86.00 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 61.5
PLACE
1 41.5
4 18.5
10 18
QUINELLA
1,4 452
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 139
1,10 140.5
4,10 53.5
FORECAST
4,1 714
TIERCE
4,1,10 4,392
TRIO
1,4,10 858
FIRST 4
1,4,10,12 1,043
QUARTET
4,1,10,12 24,649
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 35
A3 —