Happy Valley · 2023-05-31 · 22:18
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-05-31 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SIXTH GENERATION, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by J Richards, won by SH, with LOYAL BABY second and MALDIVES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SIXTH GENERATION Closed strongly H/TT 1.39.28 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 1 | 2.3 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | LOYAL BABY Led early TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 5.0 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 6 | 18.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | ROYAL PRIDE Closed strongly TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 9 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | PRINCE ALEX B- M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 3 | 7.2 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | ZONE D Closed strongly H-/P-/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 12 | 20.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | SECRET VISION CP/TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 2 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | RISING FROM ASHES Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 10 | 31.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | C P BRAVE Closed strongly CP/TT L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 8 | 35.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | PACKING SUCCEEDER M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 7 | 29.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | VIVA POPCORN H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 47.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | TOP TOP TEA M Dee · C H Yip | M Dee | C H Yip | 5 | 12.0 | 8-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SIXTH GENERATION | 28.0% | 3.57 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | LOYAL BABY | 16.2% | 6.15 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | TOP TOP TEA | 9.7% | 10.30 | 12 |
| 4 | 11 | ROYAL PRIDE | 7.9% | 12.66 | 4 |
| 5 | 12 | PRINCE ALEX | 6.2% | 16.21 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | ZONE D | 5.9% | 17.03 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | MALDIVES | 5.5% | 18.18 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | PACKING SUCCEEDER | 5.5% | 18.32 | 10 |
| 9 | 8 | VIVA POPCORN | 4.1% | 24.62 | 11 |
| 10 | 1 | RISING FROM ASHES | 3.8% | 26.46 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | SECRET VISION | 3.7% | 26.70 | 7 |
| 12 | 3 | C P BRAVE | 3.6% | 28.10 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 23
PLACE
4 17
6 13.5
7 40
QUINELLA
4,6 62.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 29
4,7 111
6,7 70
FORECAST
6,4 88
TIERCE
6,4,7 949
TRIO
4,6,7 258
FIRST 4
4,6,7,11 528
QUARTET
6,4,7,11 6,168
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 15.5
7TH DOUBLE
1/4 140
1/6 428.5