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Happy Valley · 2023-05-31 · 22:18

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1650m Course C+3 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.28
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SIXTH GENERATION Closed strongly H/TT 1.39.28 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · J Richards 1 2.3 SH
2 0 LOYAL BABY Led early TT Z Purton · F C Lor 4 5.0 SH
3 0 MALDIVES Closed strongly XB A Badel · D J Hall 6 18.0 1/2
4 0 ROYAL PRIDE Closed strongly TT K Teetan · C Fownes 9 13.0 3/4
6 0 ZONE D Closed strongly H-/P-/TT H Bowman · J Size 12 20.0 1-3/4
7 0 SECRET VISION CP/TT B Avdulla · C S Shum 2 15.0 2-1/2
9 0 C P BRAVE Closed strongly CP/TT L Hewitson · A T Millard 8 35.0 3-3/4
10 0 PACKING SUCCEEDER M F Poon · L Ho 7 29.0 5-1/4
11 0 VIVA POPCORN H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 11 47.0 5-1/2
12 0 TOP TOP TEA M Dee · C H Yip 5 12.0 8-1/4
— 0 RISING FROM ASHES Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · K W Lui — 31.0 3-1/4
— 0 PRINCE ALEX B- M Chadwick · D J Whyte — 7.2 1

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-05-31 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SIXTH GENERATION, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by J Richards, won by SH, with LOYAL BABY second and MALDIVES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SIXTH GENERATION—2. LOYAL BABY+0.1L3. MALDIVES+0.5L4. ROYAL PRIDE+0.75L6. ZONE D+1.75L7. SECRET VISION+2.5L9. C P BRAVE+3.75L10. PACKING SUCCEEDER+5.25L11. VIVA POPCORN+5.5L12. TOP TOP TEA+8.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick SIXTH GENERATION (28.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SIXTH GENERATION 28.0% 3.57 1
2 0 LOYAL BABY 16.2% 6.15 2
3 0 TOP TOP TEA 9.7% 10.30 12
4 0 ROYAL PRIDE 7.9% 12.66 4
5 0 PRINCE ALEX 6.2% 16.21 —
6 0 ZONE D 5.9% 17.03 6
7 0 MALDIVES 5.5% 18.18 3
8 0 PACKING SUCCEEDER 5.5% 18.32 10
9 0 VIVA POPCORN 4.1% 24.62 11
10 0 RISING FROM ASHES 3.8% 26.46 —
11 0 SECRET VISION 3.7% 26.70 7
12 0 C P BRAVE 3.6% 28.10 9
SIXTH GENERATION — wonLOYAL BABYTOP TOP TEAROYAL PRIDEPRINCE ALEXZONE DMALDIVESPACKING SUCCEEDERVIVA POPCORNRISING FROM ASHESSECRET VISIONC P BRAVE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 23

PLACE

4 17

6 13.5

7 40

QUINELLA

4,6 62.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,6 29

4,7 111

6,7 70

FORECAST

6,4 88

TIERCE

6,4,7 949

TRIO

4,6,7 258

FIRST 4

4,6,7,11 528

QUARTET

6,4,7,11 6,168

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 15.5

A2 —

7TH DOUBLE

1/4 140

1/6 428.5