跑馬地 · 2023-07-12 · 18:46
第 1場
2023-07-12跑馬地第1場，Class 5，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、A S Cruz訓練的CIRCUIT SEVEN勝出，贏出2。EUROMISSILE獲得亞軍；NOBLE BOYZ獲得季軍。頭馬以2.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/H/TT 0.56.72 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 11 | 2.8 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | EUROMISSILE B/XB M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 1 | 8.8 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | NOBLE BOYZ B/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 10 | 5.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | NOIR RIDER B M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 5 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | HAR HAR AT HEART E K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 2 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | BIRDSVILLE SR/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 3 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | GOODMANSHIP B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 6.3 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 21.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | STARSHIP EIGHTY B/H/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 6 | 67.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | HAPPY HERO B2 A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 9 | 72.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | JAZZ STEED TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 6.4 | 12 |
| — | 0 | TRONIC MIGHTY M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | TRAVEL GLORY H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
| — | 10 | VIVA A LA A Badel · L Ho | A Badel | L Ho | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 23.1% | 4.34 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | JAZZ STEED | 15.2% | 6.60 | 11 |
| 3 | 7 | BIRDSVILLE | 12.5% | 8.03 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | GOODMANSHIP | 11.7% | 8.58 | 7 |
| 5 | 5 | NOBLE BOYZ | 11.2% | 8.96 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | HAR HAR AT HEART | 6.3% | 15.96 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | EUROMISSILE | 5.6% | 17.80 | 2 |
| 8 | 1 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 4.2% | 23.65 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 3.9% | 25.44 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | NOIR RIDER | 3.4% | 29.46 | 4 |
| 11 | 9 | HAPPY HERO | 3.1% | 32.59 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 28.5
PLACE
2 14.5
5 20
12 24
QUINELLA
2,12 170.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 39
2,12 66
5,12 80
FORECAST
2,12 281
TIERCE
2,12,5 1,133
TRIO
2,5,12 262
FIRST 4
2,5,11,12 1,331
QUARTET
2,12,5,11 18,439
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 20