跑馬地 · 2023-07-12 · 22:58
第 9場
2023-07-12跑馬地第9場，Class 2，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由L Hewitson策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的TELECOM FIGHTERS勝出，贏出1/2。GALAXY WITNESS獲得亞軍；WINNING DRAGON獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。4.5倍大熱門GALAXY WITNESS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | TELECOM FIGHTERS 一路領先 1.39.70 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 1 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | GALAXY WITNESS 後段發力 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 4.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | WINNING DRAGON H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 9.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | NIMBLE NIMBUS V/TT B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 3 | 6.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | BUTTERFIELD 後段發力 CP/TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 7 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | SON PAK FU BO C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 19.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | ATULLIBIGEAL 後段發力 B/H/XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 11 | 7.6 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | SAVAQUIN Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 7.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | GRATEFUL HEART CP/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 6 | 98.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | HANDSOME TWELVE H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 8 | 61.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | PACKING AWARD K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 5 | 5.3 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | PRIME MINISTER K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 12 | 22.0 | 12-1/4 |
| — | 0 | A PAL M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SAVAQUIN | 14.2% | 7.05 | 8 |
| 2 | 7 | SON PAK FU | 12.6% | 7.93 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | GALAXY WITNESS | 11.0% | 9.06 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | BUTTERFIELD | 10.6% | 9.46 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | WINNING DRAGON | 10.4% | 9.61 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | PRIME MINISTER | 9.9% | 10.10 | 12 |
| 7 | 6 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 9.4% | 10.68 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | PACKING AWARD | 6.4% | 15.70 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 6.3% | 15.93 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | HANDSOME TWELVE | 4.7% | 21.10 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 2.6% | 37.75 | 1 |
| 12 | 12 | GRATEFUL HEART | 1.9% | 52.85 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 152.5
PLACE
3 44
8 17.5
11 27.5
QUINELLA
3,8 525.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 168
3,11 211.5
8,11 74.5
FORECAST
3,8 1,222
TIERCE
3,8,11 11,561
TRIO
3,8,11 1,277
FIRST 4
3,6,8,11 1,495
QUARTET
3,8,11,6 52,838
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND TREBLE
5/2/3 804
5/2/8 49
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 25.5
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,3/3,8,11 33,559
8TH DOUBLE
2/3 332.5
2/8 21.5
SIX UP
2,3,5,7/4,9/2,8/2,5/1,2/3,8 1,612
3,5,7/9/8/5/2/3 46,645
1 [Z Purton] —
3 [C Fownes] —